NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	7.1 [446]		MVP	Ish Smith (DET): +27.7%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	8.0 [20]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -27.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.14	0.01	7	89%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	3	64%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.11
Reggie Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	12	79%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	13	82%	0.27	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	18	42%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.21	-0.07	-0.01	17	24%	-0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	14	82%	0.31	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.05
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	19	72%	0.27	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.06	-0.04	17	73%	0.18	5	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.7	24.3	14.6	28.2	1.0	36.2	128.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -16.0%

DET +28.5%

DET +13.3%

DET +25.8%

GSW -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	17.5	12.6	14.7	119.8	112.6	107.5
season	14.9	13.7		106.4	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		105.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.2	19.0	18.2	14.0	17.5
GSW	11.2	12.3	12.5	14.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	29	30	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.11	26	-18	44	15.2	18.5	-3.24	14.4	11.8	2.54
Anthony Tolliver	35	34	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.10	21	-13	34	16.9	17.9	-0.97	13.7	12.0	1.72
Ish Smith	38	38	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-3	14	15.7	18.7	-2.96	12.9	12.5	0.39
Andre Drummond	81	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	7	-6	17.5	17.7	-0.28	12.9	11.5	1.36
Jon Leuer	15	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	1	6	17.7	17.5	0.28	11.5	12.9	-1.36
Langston Galloway	9	10	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	3	2	20.8	17.2	3.62	10.8	12.8	-2.05
Stanley Johnson	82	80	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.22	-5	13	-18	17.6	16.8	0.84	12.9	11.4	1.46
Avery Bradley	72	70	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	18	-28	17.9	16.4	1.44	11.9	14.7	-2.83
Reggie Jackson	58	57	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	11	-14	18.7	15.7	2.96	12.5	12.9	-0.39
Tobias Harris	61	61	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	21	-34	17.9	16.9	0.97	12.0	13.7	-1.72

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	36	37	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.01	11	-19	30	11.2	13.5	-2.22	20.2	15.8	4.46
Omri Casspi	16	16	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-19	30	11.6	12.8	-1.21	19.2	17.2	2.02
Kevin Durant	70	72	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-19	30	12.9	12.0	0.91	17.8	16.5	1.28
Stephen Curry	69	72	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.26	12	-20	32	12.0	14.2	-2.15	17.9	16.4	1.44
Patrick McCaw	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	1.0	12.8	-11.76	0.0	17.5	-17.50
Shaun Livingston	29	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-9	10	11.4	13.2	-1.80	16.5	18.0	-1.41
JaVale McGee	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-5	2	12.1	12.8	-0.67	15.9	17.9	-1.96
Klay Thompson	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	13.2	11.4	1.80	18.0	16.5	1.41
Nick Young	26	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	8	-24	14.2	12.0	2.20	16.4	17.9	-1.53
Draymond Green	64	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	4	-16	12.2	13.6	-1.46	17.9	16.6	1.31
David West	25	24	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	10	-28	14.7	11.9	2.83	16.4	17.9	-1.44
Andre Iguodala	53	53	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.16	-26	18	-44	13.5	11.5	2.07	15.2	20.3	-5.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 86, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	92.9%
UTA 105, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0	91.6%
OKC 116, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.04,0	91.5%