NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	1.7 [1304]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (WAS): +8.8%
Sacramento Kings	83		Comeback	1.0 [1086]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -6.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Wall	0.04	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	79%	0.10	6	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.02	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	83%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.05	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	-0.11	8	12%	-0.05	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	27.5	14.7	20.2	2.4	27.3	119.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +35.6%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +5.9%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.7	113.4	85.6	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		108.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	13.6	17.8	14.5	14.7
SAC	16.1	14.1	14.3	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.32	24	3	21	15.3	13.7	1.60	14.3	15.9	-1.62
Kelly Oubre Jr.	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.38	26	1	25	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.6	15.4	-0.79
John Wall	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	1	25	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Otto Porter Jr.	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.17	17	10	7	15.1	14.1	1.00	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Marcin Gortat	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	10	7	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.9	14.5	1.37
Mike Scott	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.35	18	9	9	14.5	14.8	-0.26	16.1	14.5	1.62
Tim Frazier	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	26	-25	14.7	14.7	0.02	15.4	14.6	0.83
Jodie Meeks	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	26	-25	14.2	15.1	-0.89	15.4	14.6	0.79
Jason Smith	34	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	23	-19	13.7	15.2	-1.50	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Tomas Satoransky	35	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	25	-23	13.4	15.5	-2.10	15.3	14.8	0.55
Ian Mahinmi	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	21	-15	15.9	14.3	1.63	15.1	14.9	0.23
Chris McCullough	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	34	-41	13.4	14.9	-1.58	13.9	15.2	-1.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georgios Papagiannis	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-34	41	13.9	15.2	-1.23	13.4	14.9	-1.58
JaKarr Sampson	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-34	41	13.9	15.2	-1.23	13.4	14.9	-1.58
Garrett Temple	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.25	-11	-16	5	14.5	15.2	-0.68	15.2	14.4	0.72
Justin Jackson	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-28	29	14.4	15.2	-0.79	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Malachi Richardson	41	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-24	21	16.2	14.1	2.06	13.4	15.6	-2.18
Kosta Koufos	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-20	13	15.8	14.6	1.23	15.1	14.5	0.58
Frank Mason	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-21	15	16.1	14.1	1.99	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Vince Carter	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	-16	5	16.4	14.4	2.01	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Skal Labissiere	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	-9	-9	15.2	14.8	0.50	15.8	13.8	1.99
Bogdan Bogdanovic	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-5	-17	14.5	15.5	-0.99	14.9	14.6	0.31
De'Aaron Fox	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-6	-15	14.1	16.1	-1.99	15.6	13.7	1.88
Buddy Hield	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.34	-24	-3	-21	14.4	15.7	-1.37	15.4	13.8	1.67
Willie Cauley-Stein	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.43	-27	0	-27	14.7	15.2	-0.49	14.8	14.6	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.9%
CHI 108, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
CHI 120, MIL 66	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%