NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	7.3 [404]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +18.1%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	1.5 [592]		LVP	Zach Randolph (SAC): -8.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	77%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Skal Labissiere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.08	10	68%	0.04	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.28,-0.06	0.18	-0.17	0.07	13	82%	0.15	1	-0.21	2	50%	-0.14
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	16	61%	0.24	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Marquese Chriss	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	70%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	90%	0.36	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	83%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	1	87%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.5	28.5	14.5	28.4	2.4	40.5	138.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +72.1%

PHX +10.0%

SAC -24.7%

SAC -17.7%

PHX +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	13.1	14.7	110.6	112.5	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		102.9	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.7		111.8	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.5	13.6	14.5	12.9	14.6
PHX	10.8	14.7	12.7	14.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-6	10	13.8	14.7	-0.93	14.3	12.9	1.36
Kosta Koufos	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-10	18	14.0	15.1	-1.11	14.2	12.2	2.02
Skal Labissiere	62	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.50	15	-17	32	13.6	16.0	-2.33	14.0	11.8	2.25
De'Aaron Fox	66	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.58	16	-18	34	13.3	16.8	-3.47	13.9	11.7	2.14
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.56	15	-17	32	13.9	15.4	-1.53	14.4	11.7	2.71
Garrett Temple	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.59	14	-16	30	13.3	15.9	-2.56	14.1	12.1	1.94
Zach Randolph	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	17	-36	16.7	13.6	3.09	11.1	14.1	-3.04
Buddy Hield	37	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	16	-34	16.7	13.4	3.24	11.6	13.9	-2.29
Justin Jackson	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	18	-38	16.6	13.4	3.22	11.3	14.1	-2.78
Willie Cauley-Stein	63	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	7	-16	15.1	13.8	1.29	12.3	14.3	-2.04
George Hill	56	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	14	-30	15.1	13.9	1.21	12.1	14.2	-2.12

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-7	16	13.1	13.1	-0.05	15.8	13.4	2.47
Marquese Chriss	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-14	30	13.3	12.7	0.62	15.0	13.9	1.08
Mike James	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-9	20	12.3	14.1	-1.81	14.6	14.6	0.05
Troy Daniels	43	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	5	-8	13.6	12.8	0.81	14.1	14.9	-0.73
Devin Booker	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-6	14	12.4	14.2	-1.84	14.7	14.4	0.30
Alex Len	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-6	14	13.6	12.9	0.69	15.3	14.2	1.05
Josh Jackson	55	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	8	-14	12.7	13.6	-0.92	13.0	16.3	-3.29
Tyler Ulis	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	11	-20	14.1	12.3	1.81	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Jared Dudley	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	1	0	13.6	13.1	0.55	16.1	14.4	1.67
Tyson Chandler	66	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	11	-20	13.2	12.9	0.37	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Dragan Bender	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.35	-16	18	-34	13.3	13.0	0.24	13.9	14.8	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 97, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.58,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NJN 86, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%