inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement5.0 [830] MVPMalik Beasley (DEN): +12.5%
Dallas Mavericks 91 Comeback2.2 [399] LVPJ.J. Barea (DAL): -7.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Beasley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.02-0.021262%0.1200.002100%0.01
Juan Hernangomez0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.01970%0.152-0.05250%-0.01
Gary Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.021077%0.143-0.06667%-0.01
Wilson Chandler0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01656%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Nikola Jokic0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021457%0.064-0.0700%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01950%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.010.054100%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031436%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrod Uthoff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.012125%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.02950%0.0400.002100%0.01
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.03-0.012050%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.04-0.01-0.04736%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.02662%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.041240%0.023-0.071100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.021048%-0.002-0.053100%0.02
AJ Hammons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01125%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Nicolas Brussino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.010.05550%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.011446%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.525.615.023.01.625.5114.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +51.5%
DAL -3.9%
DEN +6.9%
DAL -5.7%
DEN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game14.414.914.8110.192.9107.7
season14.416.2111.6104.4
opponent14.714.5107.2111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.112.813.918.214.4
DAL14.015.314.315.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller56550.58-0.080.66-0.1224-63015.013.61.4215.214.40.78
Gary Harris72700.500.000.50-0.0920-22214.414.20.2215.313.71.55
Malik Beasley63620.420.080.35-0.111801815.013.31.7415.314.11.14
Juan Hernangomez53530.350.150.200.03117414.014.9-0.9116.313.13.19
Mason Plumlee68660.300.200.10-0.02117415.412.23.1414.815.0-0.26
Darrell Arthur37380.200.30-0.10-0.04810-212.415.6-3.1615.214.60.53
Wilson Chandler33330.090.41-0.320.03216-1413.714.7-1.0313.315.7-2.39
Jamal Murray70700.080.42-0.33-0.01315-1214.314.5-0.1913.817.5-3.75
Nikola Jokic4343-0.030.53-0.560.18-725-3213.814.8-0.9714.115.5-1.36

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nerlens Noel3838-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-222614.015.4-1.4013.714.8-1.18
Dirk Nowitzki6159-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-181814.715.1-0.4012.716.9-4.26
J.J. Barea6159-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-181814.715.1-0.4012.716.9-4.26
AJ Hammons1414-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-12615.914.71.1717.413.93.55
Dorian Finney-Smith5860-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-12614.415.5-1.1315.812.23.68
Dwight Powell4246-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-10214.415.2-0.8815.413.51.96
Salah Mejri1817-0.27-0.23-0.050.17-15-3-1217.114.42.6910.815.1-4.37
Yogi Ferrell7072-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-9-9014.515.9-1.4015.012.72.36
Devin Harris3940-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-9014.914.80.0714.214.5-0.27
Jarrod Uthoff3637-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-202-2216.114.12.0315.813.52.32
Nicolas Brussino5353-0.45-0.05-0.410.16-213-2415.314.31.0514.813.90.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 111, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.09,094.7%
MEM 107, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,094.4%
CHI 89, ORL 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,094.3%