NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	5.0 [840]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +5.3%
Orlando Magic	81		Comeback	1.8 [463]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -13.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	7	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	20	50%	0.07	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.02
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	17	32%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	9	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	5	23%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	71%	0.10	7	-0.13	12	33%	-0.10
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.09	13	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	15	47%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	34.6	17.8	27.2	2.8	40.3	150.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.1%

CHI +3.0%

CHI +31.9%

ORL -3.2%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	18.0	14.4	15.5	100.0	91.0	105.7
season	15.7	15.2		106.5	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	19.5	19.0	16.9	18.0
ORL	13.2	14.1	17.0	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	40	40	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.07	22	-14	36	17.5	18.3	-0.80	14.6	14.2	0.47
Omer Asik	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-5	18	18.4	17.3	1.07	15.3	12.9	2.41
Kyle Korver	35	34	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-3	14	18.7	17.5	1.14	12.6	15.5	-2.87
CJ Watson	23	23	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-3	14	18.0	17.9	0.10	15.8	13.9	1.93
Carlos Boozer	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	7	-6	19.3	15.4	3.87	13.9	15.3	-1.33
Taj Gibson	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	15.4	19.3	-3.87	15.3	13.9	1.33
Luol Deng	73	75	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	12	-16	17.3	20.9	-3.55	14.6	13.4	1.23
Derrick Rose	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	11	-14	17.9	18.0	-0.10	13.9	15.8	-1.93
Joakim Noah	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	13	-18	17.3	18.4	-1.07	12.9	15.3	-2.41
Keith Bogans	30	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	21	-34	19.3	17.3	2.01	15.6	13.8	1.82

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	13.1	14.6	-1.49	14.8	18.4	-3.59
Jameer Nelson	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-9	10	14.1	15.1	-1.04	18.8	16.1	2.71
Hedo Turkoglu	53	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.5	12.7	2.85	18.2	17.5	0.71
Brandon Bass	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	14.0	15.2	-1.17	19.0	15.8	3.17
Jason Richardson	71	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	14.0	15.9	-1.87	18.1	17.6	0.49
Gilbert Arenas	27	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	3	-14	15.3	14.0	1.30	16.5	18.6	-2.14
Dwight Howard	80	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	14.3	14.9	-0.55	18.0	17.8	0.21
JJ Redick	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	3	-14	13.8	14.9	-1.09	18.0	18.0	0.02
Ryan Anderson	39	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	1	-10	15.1	13.8	1.26	16.3	19.2	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 107, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.4%
DEN 109, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%
SAS 99, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.08,0,0,0	94.1%