NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	3.1 [1174]		MVP	TJ Warren (PHX): +14.0%
Phoenix Suns	120		Comeback	1.0 [341]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -18.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	14	49%	0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03
Semaj Christon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	0.01	0.00	25	39%	-0.08	8	-0.11	9	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.00	0.02	15	70%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	69%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	4	92%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.15	0.01	0.14	29	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	41%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.4	14.7	28.2	2.3	34.4	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.8%

PHX +4.5%

OKC -8.3%

PHX +4.2%

OKC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	14.8	107.6	133.3	107.7
season	14.0	13.9		107.0	105.4
opponent	14.5	15.1		110.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.6	15.3	15.0	15.3	15.5
PHX	15.4	14.7	15.0	19.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-23	25	15.3	15.6	-0.26	19.9	15.0	4.86
Norris Cole	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-22	23	16.9	15.2	1.70	20.0	15.2	4.78
Taj Gibson	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-20	19	16.5	15.1	1.39	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Domantas Sabonis	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-15	9	15.4	15.6	-0.18	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Semaj Christon	35	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-17	13	14.4	16.2	-1.87	16.9	15.7	1.27
Jerami Grant	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-16	11	14.0	16.5	-2.47	17.6	15.2	2.37
Enes Kanter	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.22	-17	-4	-13	16.2	15.1	1.10	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Steven Adams	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	-8	-5	15.6	15.4	0.17	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Russell Westbrook	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-6	-9	15.9	14.4	1.43	15.5	18.3	-2.86
Victor Oladipo	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.24	-22	1	-23	16.0	14.9	1.01	14.8	18.1	-3.22
Doug McDermott	80	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	4	-29	15.2	17.5	-2.26	15.4	20.2	-4.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	1	19	16.0	16.5	-0.51	15.3	16.2	-0.85
Jared Dudley	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	4	13	15.8	17.0	-1.23	16.1	14.2	1.92
TJ Warren	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	1	19	16.1	16.3	-0.21	15.0	16.9	-1.97
Tyler Ulis	74	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	14	-7	16.3	15.2	1.14	15.7	14.9	0.72
Derrick Jones, Jr.	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	4	13	16.0	16.2	-0.22	15.8	15.3	0.52
Alan Williams	52	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	9	3	15.0	17.6	-2.61	16.4	14.4	2.05
Alex Len	38	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	12	-3	17.6	15.0	2.61	14.4	16.4	-2.05
Marquese Chriss	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	17	-13	17.0	15.8	1.23	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Dragan Bender	18	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	21	-21	14.9	16.4	-1.47	17.3	15.0	2.26
Ronnie Price	4	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	22	-23	21.7	15.9	5.89	13.7	15.6	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 95, DET 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 87, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%