NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	111		Excitement	6.0 [640]		MVP	Trevor Booker (BKN): +28.6%
Brooklyn Nets	121		Comeback	2.3 [638]		LVP	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (BKN): -10.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	18	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	20	67%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	56%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.08	-0.01	12	96%	0.32	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	22	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	2	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	25.5	15.7	21.7	2.0	29.3	119.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.7%

BKN +5.6%

BKN +3.8%

BKN +7.2%

ORL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.8	112.1	119.8	107.7
season	14.6	13.7		103.0	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.3	16.1	14.8	16.0	14.9
BKN	12.0	13.9	14.0	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	69	70	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-20	30	14.0	17.1	-3.05	14.0	13.5	0.56
Aaron Gordon	75	76	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-19	28	14.1	17.7	-3.60	14.0	13.5	0.47
Elfrid Payton	74	76	0.12	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-18	26	14.1	17.3	-3.18	13.9	13.8	0.09
Evan Fournier	76	77	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-12	14	14.7	15.7	-0.93	14.3	12.4	1.96
Terrence Ross	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-8	6	14.3	16.6	-2.33	13.5	14.7	-1.15
Jodie Meeks	36	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.08	-17	7	-24	16.4	14.1	2.32	14.3	13.6	0.67
D.J. Augustin	31	31	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.14	-17	7	-24	17.1	13.9	3.19	13.5	14.0	-0.47
Bismack Biyombo	30	31	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.09	-20	10	-30	17.1	14.0	3.05	13.5	14.0	-0.56
Mario Hezonja	33	35	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.08	-23	13	-36	17.0	13.9	3.05	13.1	14.3	-1.25

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	39	38	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-10	30	13.5	14.1	-0.58	16.6	13.9	2.70
Justin Hamilton	39	38	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-10	30	13.5	14.1	-0.58	16.6	13.9	2.70
Archie Goodwin	29	29	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-5	20	15.0	13.4	1.63	17.8	13.8	4.04
Trevor Booker	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-8	26	13.5	14.2	-0.67	16.6	13.5	3.11
Isaiah Whitehead	55	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-6	22	13.2	14.7	-1.47	16.3	13.4	2.89
Sean Kilpatrick	47	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	5	0	13.6	14.1	-0.44	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Caris LeVert	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	16	-22	14.8	13.2	1.60	13.3	16.2	-2.88
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	54	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	18	-26	14.3	13.4	0.95	13.4	16.7	-3.32
Jeremy Lin	62	61	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	20	-30	14.1	13.5	0.58	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Brook Lopez	61	60	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	20	-30	14.0	13.7	0.28	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Randy Foye	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	20	-30	12.9	14.2	-1.29	12.8	15.7	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
HOU 109, MEM 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.98,0.95,1,1	92.4%
SEA 102, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.1%