NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	5.4 [738]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +25.8%
LA Clippers	133		Comeback	1.4 [1050]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (WAS): -5.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.05	23	72%	0.23	6	-0.12	11	73%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	22	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.26	0.03	0.03	15	86%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.05	0.01	15	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	9	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	12	58%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	16	65%	0.10	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	2	71%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	16	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	33.4	14.7	30.2	2.4	36.2	147.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.2%

LAC +6.5%

WAS -5.7%

LAC +5.9%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.8	122.8	131.7	107.7
season	14.4	15.0		109.9	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	11.5	15.6	13.3	14.1
LAC	11.5	15.0	15.0	16.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.4	14.1	0.35	16.1	13.8	2.25
Bojan Bogdanovic	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-10	11	13.2	14.6	-1.36	16.2	13.5	2.65
Ian Mahinmi	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-16	23	13.9	14.4	-0.57	16.2	12.7	3.49
Marcin Gortat	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.4	1.87	13.1	15.3	-2.14
Kelly Oubre Jr.	53	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-7	5	13.1	15.3	-2.14	15.4	13.4	1.99
Jason Smith	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-6	3	12.8	16.0	-3.20	14.5	14.2	0.29
Otto Porter Jr.	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	0	-9	14.8	13.5	1.32	13.0	15.9	-2.95
Markieff Morris	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	4	-17	16.4	13.2	3.20	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Bradley Beal	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	14.5	12.2	2.37	13.8	17.2	-3.41
John Wall	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	0	-9	14.0	14.6	-0.56	14.0	16.1	-2.06

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	85	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.10	21	-12	33	13.8	17.4	-3.57	14.2	14.0	0.18
Chris Paul	78	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-6	21	13.9	15.9	-1.95	14.6	12.6	2.05
DeAndre Jordan	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-7	23	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.4	13.2	1.12
JJ Redick	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-4	17	14.0	15.2	-1.16	14.4	13.5	0.91
Jamal Crawford	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	3	3	15.0	13.4	1.64	13.2	15.5	-2.23
Austin Rivers	17	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	4	1	14.6	14.3	0.27	15.5	13.9	1.61
Luc Mbah a Moute	45	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	10	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.22	14.9	13.5	1.39
Marreese Speights	19	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	16	-23	15.5	14.1	1.43	13.2	14.4	-1.12
Raymond Felton	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	14	-19	15.4	14.0	1.42	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Alan Anderson	8	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	15	-21	15.5	14.3	1.23	12.7	14.3	-1.52
Paul Pierce	16	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	21	-33	17.4	13.8	3.57	14.0	14.2	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 91, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%