NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	4.2 [975]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +7.8%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	1.1 [1293]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -7.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	59%	0.09	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Cleanthony Early	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	10	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	30.5	15.5	23.5	2.5	30.2	129.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.9%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +4.8%

WAS +9.4%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.1	97.8	106.3	104.2
season	16.1	15.1		98.5	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.1	13.0	18.2	15.6	15.5
WAS	13.4	13.7	17.8	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cleanthony Early	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-17	24	12.9	17.2	-4.24	15.7	14.8	0.96
Travis Wear	35	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-20	30	13.4	16.8	-3.35	15.8	14.6	1.19
Langston Galloway	33	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	14.8	15.9	-1.18	16.1	14.5	1.61
Pablo Prigioni	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	0	-10	16.8	14.5	2.34	14.0	15.9	-1.95
Shane Larkin	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-10	10	14.5	16.8	-2.34	15.9	14.0	1.95
Jason Smith	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	15.3	15.7	-0.36	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Cole Aldrich	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	2	-14	16.1	14.4	1.74	15.3	14.8	0.47
Tim Hardaway Jr.	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	17.2	13.9	3.24	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Quincy Acy	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	15.7	15.1	0.66	14.6	15.9	-1.27
Jose Calderon	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	4	-18	16.7	13.3	3.48	14.7	15.9	-1.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-8	26	14.7	15.9	-1.15	16.9	12.5	4.40
Marcin Gortat	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-9	28	15.2	15.0	0.22	16.9	13.7	3.19
Nene	45	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	-11	32	14.5	15.7	-1.21	17.5	13.6	3.87
Bradley Beal	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-7	24	14.7	15.8	-1.12	17.1	13.1	4.09
Otto Porter	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-1	12	15.0	15.3	-0.33	16.4	14.6	1.77
Rasual Butler	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	0	10	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Kris Humphries	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	14	-18	16.3	14.1	2.14	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Kevin Seraphin	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	12	-14	15.2	15.1	0.11	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Andre Miller	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	18	-26	15.9	14.7	1.15	12.5	16.9	-4.40
Martell Webster	37	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.34	-11	21	-32	15.4	15.0	0.37	13.2	16.9	-3.67
Drew Gooden	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	13.6	15.2	-1.61	10.5	15.7	-5.24
Garrett Temple	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	13.6	15.2	-1.61	10.5	15.7	-5.24
DeJuan Blair	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	13.6	15.2	-1.61	10.5	15.7	-5.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 56, SEA 71	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 91, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DAL 74, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%