NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	4.8 [861]		MVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): +16.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.2 [1202]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.07	0.05	11	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	18	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Alec Burks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	18	42%	-0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.14	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	12	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	55%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.05	-0.02	18	50%	0.10	8	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	29.2	14.7	26.8	0.2	28.3	122.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +28.9%

OKC +8.3%

OKC +4.2%

OKC +6.7%

OKC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	15.4	98.9	110.4	104.1
season	16.0	14.8		104.6	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	16.7	14.9	16.0	16.1
OKC	14.1	11.4	15.1	16.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-18	24	15.0	16.5	-1.51	15.3	13.6	1.66
Jamaal Tinsley	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-10	8	18.3	15.7	2.59	12.9	14.3	-1.35
Enes Kanter	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-14	16	16.6	15.8	0.79	14.7	13.8	0.90
Alec Burks	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-15	18	16.4	15.9	0.45	14.7	13.9	0.83
DeMarre Carroll	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-9	6	15.8	16.3	-0.43	14.8	13.5	1.27
Derrick Favors	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-2	-8	18.1	15.6	2.51	12.3	14.5	-2.17
Paul Millsap	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	0	-12	16.1	16.1	-0.02	14.4	13.5	0.87
Gordon Hayward	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	16.1	16.1	-0.01	13.1	15.6	-2.55
Al Jefferson	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-7	2	15.5	18.5	-2.99	14.4	12.7	1.69
Randy Foye	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	3	-18	15.7	16.8	-1.09	13.5	15.1	-1.63
Mo Williams	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	4	-20	16.3	15.6	0.72	14.1	14.0	0.09

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	78	78	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.10	27	-15	42	13.9	15.0	-1.12	16.3	15.2	1.09
Kendrick Perkins	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.05	20	-8	28	14.5	13.4	1.07	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Kevin Durant	80	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-5	22	14.5	12.2	2.21	16.2	15.3	0.96
Kevin Martin	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	13.2	15.8	-2.59	16.4	15.5	0.94
Serge Ibaka	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	2	8	15.5	12.6	2.90	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Thabo Sefolosha	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	13.7	14.6	-0.91	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Nick Collison	43	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	13	-14	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.3	15.9	0.43
Perry Jones	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	20.0	14.0	5.97	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Hasheem Thabeet	31	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	20	-28	13.5	14.4	-0.95	16.2	16.0	0.19
Eric Maynor	18	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.25	-15	27	-42	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.2	16.3	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 83, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,1	95.9%
DAL 94, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%