inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 112 Excitement4.4 [926] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +18.1%
Toronto Raptors 131 Comeback1.5 [1071] LVPMario Hezonja (ORL): -7.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Fournier0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.14-0.010.041269%0.0900.00580%0.00
Elfrid Payton0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.000.071269%0.081-0.02875%-0.02
Terrence Ross0.060,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.01-0.011459%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Aaron Gordon0.050,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.011353%0.0500.00450%-0.02
CJ Wilcox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Zimmerman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damjan Rudez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.011-0.032100%0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01844%0.022-0.042100%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.000.000.031150%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
C.J. Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01262%0.044-0.09475%0.01
Mario Hezonja-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.03-0.061015%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.030.022164%0.222-0.041464%-0.01
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.01-0.051173%0.152-0.0100%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.04977%0.0900.00475%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.001064%0.101-0.01580%0.01
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.00658%0.071-0.0200%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.020.04675%0.042-0.06450%-0.01
Lucas Nogueira0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02350%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.030.000.021062%0.035-0.08450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.433.314.827.12.434.4139.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +46.2%
TOR +0.6%
TOR +6.0%
ORL -4.0%
TOR +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game13.714.814.8110.9129.7107.7
season14.615.2103.0110.0
opponent14.914.9106.9109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL11.916.312.015.313.7
TOR15.815.013.315.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Wilcox450.00-0.500.500.03-1-181712.513.8-1.2511.615.0-3.38
Stephen Zimmerman450.00-0.500.500.03-1-181712.513.8-1.2511.615.0-3.38
Damjan Rudez450.00-0.500.500.03-1-181712.513.8-1.2511.615.0-3.38
Evan Fournier6564-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-5-14913.114.7-1.6315.114.30.85
Elfrid Payton6968-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-151112.616.1-3.5015.114.30.80
Nikola Vucevic6360-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-11313.214.6-1.4514.914.70.18
Terrence Ross6264-0.20-0.300.090.03-8-11312.116.2-4.0314.515.3-0.81
Jodie Meeks2625-0.22-0.280.060.07-10-9-117.112.54.6015.314.70.62
Aaron Gordon7978-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-12512.518.1-5.6714.715.1-0.41
C.J. Watson2021-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-8-317.312.84.5515.714.61.08
Bismack Biyombo3435-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.01-10-9-114.913.11.7315.214.60.59
D.J. Augustin2828-0.32-0.18-0.150.09-14-5-916.612.64.0214.714.8-0.09
Mario Hezonja4747-0.40-0.10-0.310.04-15-4-1115.312.32.9814.615.0-0.36

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell50490.460.040.43-0.011631314.615.0-0.3814.413.01.37
Jonas Valanciunas57580.440.060.38-0.1821-22315.214.30.8713.114.5-1.41
Serge Ibaka65650.420.080.34-0.111811715.613.32.3013.813.60.19
Cory Joseph61610.300.200.09-0.03118315.314.01.3012.715.2-2.48
DeMar DeRozan79790.280.220.050.01910-115.014.20.8112.517.9-5.38
Delon Wright36380.250.25-0.010.01811-314.415.0-0.6615.512.62.92
PJ Tucker67680.220.28-0.06-0.10118315.014.50.5114.611.92.62
Patrick Patterson42420.200.30-0.110.11316-1314.415.1-0.7015.212.62.59
Lucas Nogueira990.060.44-0.39-0.03316-139.215.4-6.1410.614.0-3.46
Pascal Siakam540.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1711.615.0-3.3812.513.8-1.25
Fred VanVleet540.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1711.615.0-3.3812.513.8-1.25
Jakob Poeltl2928-0.110.61-0.730.09-726-3314.614.9-0.3613.513.8-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 85, UTA 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
MIL 83, CHI 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.95,1,1,194.7%
NYK 82, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.6%