NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	6.7 [515]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +17.4%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.1 [692]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -8.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.03	0.06	24	73%	0.26	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	17	44%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09	0.04	-0.10	0.03	12	53%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.02	15	58%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.03	6	94%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	4	44%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rakeem Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.05	0.01	20	42%	0.06	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.4	15.7	25.0	1.6	34.4	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.2%

IND +8.0%

UTA -7.3%

IND +5.8%

IND +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	14.8	108.7	116.3	107.7
season	16.1	14.9		108.0	107.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		108.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	13.8	16.1	14.2	15.1
IND	17.6	14.4	16.6	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.10	6	-13	19	14.8	15.3	-0.46	16.9	15.9	1.07
Trey Lyles	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	10.6	15.5	-4.91	16.2	16.2	0.06
Jeff Withey	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.6	15.8	1.84
Dante Exum	11	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-3	-1	14.5	15.2	-0.64	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Joe Johnson	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-10	13	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.8	15.1	1.74
Raul Neto	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	0	-7	15.9	15.0	0.93	14.5	16.4	-1.87
Rodney Hood	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	17.2	14.2	3.03	17.4	15.7	1.67
George Hill	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-6	5	15.0	15.4	-0.44	16.6	14.7	1.90
Joe Ingles	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-5	3	14.2	16.3	-2.08	15.7	16.9	-1.17
Boris Diaw	25	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	-12	5	-17	17.2	14.3	2.87	14.7	16.7	-2.07
Rudy Gobert	72	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	0	-7	15.2	14.8	0.39	15.8	17.6	-1.84
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.7	17.8	-2.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-5	17	16.2	16.1	0.07	15.2	14.7	0.57
Monta Ellis	48	48	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-6	19	16.0	16.4	-0.32	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Paul George	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	15.9	17.0	-1.01	15.5	13.9	1.59
Myles Turner	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	16.3	16.0	0.28	15.7	13.7	2.03
Thaddeus Young	60	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	4	-1	16.2	16.1	0.16	15.5	14.4	1.14
Lavoy Allen	31	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	5	-3	16.6	16.0	0.63	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Al Jefferson	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	9	-11	17.6	15.8	1.84	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Glenn Robinson III	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	17.0	15.9	1.01	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Rakeem Christmas	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	7	-7	10.3	16.6	-6.27	9.8	15.5	-5.64
CJ Miles	45	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	16.0	16.4	-0.38	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Aaron Brooks	21	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	16.1	16.2	-0.07	14.7	15.2	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.83,0.72,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.84,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.91,1	94.0%
CLE 104, SAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	93.6%