NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	3.2 [1145]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (ATL): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.0 [607]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -8.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	10	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	19	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.07	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	17	67%	0.09	4	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	11	55%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.13	0.01	-0.11	9	11%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	59%	0.04	5	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	11	79%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	16	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	61%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	14	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	28.6	15.8	31.4	1.6	28.0	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.3%

ATL -7.9%

POR +14.1%

ATL -3.9%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	14.8	111.9	95.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		108.6	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		104.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.0	15.6	16.2	16.4	14.9
ATL	13.7	11.7	13.8	14.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	72	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.29	27	-11	38	13.9	17.5	-3.59	14.1	11.8	2.26
Maurice Harkless	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.19	22	-6	28	14.1	16.3	-2.15	14.3	12.2	2.12
Jusuf Nurkic	67	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	2	12	14.3	16.2	-1.89	14.1	12.0	2.13
Noah Vonleh	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	15.5	14.2	1.35	13.8	13.1	0.66
CJ McCollum	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	7	2	15.1	14.5	0.60	13.7	12.9	0.82
Allen Crabbe	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	10	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.88	13.0	14.1	-1.13
Al-Farouq Aminu	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	12	-8	14.6	15.3	-0.71	12.2	15.2	-3.06
Meyers Leonard	7	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	11	-6	13.4	15.0	-1.60	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Evan Turner	39	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	22	-28	16.2	14.1	2.05	12.3	14.2	-1.87
Pat Connaughton	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	25.0	14.5	10.49	11.2	13.6	-2.30
Jake Layman	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	25.0	14.5	10.49	11.2	13.6	-2.30
Shabazz Napier	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	25.0	14.5	10.49	11.2	13.6	-2.30

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.2	13.5	-1.33	23.6	14.5	9.13
Jose Calderon	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.2	13.5	-1.33	23.6	14.5	9.13
Mike Muscala	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-14	12	11.2	14.0	-2.79	15.7	14.8	0.91
Malcolm Delaney	53	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-21	26	12.6	14.4	-1.78	16.3	13.4	2.88
Taurean Prince	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-15	14	12.8	14.7	-1.91	15.3	14.1	1.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-11	6	11.9	16.4	-4.47	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Ersan Ilyasova	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.6	12.0	2.58	15.0	14.8	0.25
Thabo Sefolosha	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-1	-14	14.2	13.0	1.17	14.0	15.5	-1.50
Kent Bazemore	68	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-6	-4	13.8	12.8	1.04	15.2	14.4	0.84
Dwight Howard	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	3	-22	14.2	11.5	2.76	14.1	17.1	-3.01
Dennis Schroder	60	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.25	-25	9	-34	14.7	11.7	2.93	13.5	17.0	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
POR 86, NJN 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DET 100, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%