NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	2.4 [1243]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +8.5%
Denver Nuggets	129		Comeback	1.0 [1276]		LVP	Larry Nance Jr. (LAL): -6.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	-0.00	0.13	15	74%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	25%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	45%	0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	12	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Julius Randle	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	18	49%	0.03	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
David Nwaba	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	14	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.06	10	72%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	12	76%	0.14	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	5	93%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	13	81%	0.03	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	68%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	15	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	4.3	30.7	17.6	24.2	3.4	29.5	135.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.6%

DEN +5.4%

DEN +3.2%

DEN +5.1%

DEN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.7	13.0	14.8	97.1	124.0	107.7
season	14.5	14.4		104.8	111.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.2	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	12.9	14.8	15.3	14.7
DEN	12.8	11.5	15.2	13.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-31	34	13.0	14.8	-1.85	16.0	12.7	3.28
Ivica Zubac	62	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-36	44	15.2	13.8	1.38	14.5	11.0	3.48
Tyler Ennis	45	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-24	20	14.1	15.1	-0.92	13.2	12.9	0.25
David Nwaba	40	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-23	18	15.1	14.4	0.72	13.0	13.1	-0.06
Brandon Ingram	54	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-21	14	15.6	13.6	2.03	14.0	12.0	2.01
Tarik Black	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.33	-19	-9	-10	14.1	14.9	-0.81	12.2	13.4	-1.14
Julius Randle	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.27	-19	-9	-10	15.1	14.2	0.96	12.6	13.5	-0.96
Corey Brewer	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	-6	-16	14.9	14.5	0.38	11.6	13.9	-2.30
Larry Nance Jr.	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	-5	-18	13.7	15.6	-1.95	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Jordan Clarkson	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	-7	-14	14.7	14.5	0.23	13.4	12.3	1.03
D'Angelo Russell	63	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.43	-31	3	-34	14.1	15.5	-1.38	11.8	15.1	-3.22

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	0	28	12.4	14.2	-1.73	14.3	15.3	-1.04
Jamal Murray	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.38	29	-1	30	11.9	15.2	-3.26	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Nikola Jokic	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	12	4	12.6	13.5	-0.96	15.0	14.3	0.67
Juan Hernangomez	45	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	14	0	11.2	14.5	-3.32	13.2	15.8	-2.58
Jameer Nelson	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	18	-8	13.4	12.6	0.82	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Gary Harris	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.25	17	11	6	13.9	11.1	2.81	15.8	12.1	3.74
Danilo Gallinari	59	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	14	0	14.5	11.2	3.32	15.8	13.2	2.58
Mason Plumlee	74	74	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	16	-4	14.1	10.3	3.85	15.5	12.6	2.93
Emmanuel Mudiay	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	11.9	13.1	-1.27	10.7	14.9	-4.22
Roy Hibbert	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	11.9	13.1	-1.27	10.7	14.9	-4.22
Malik Beasley	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	11.9	13.1	-1.27	10.7	14.9	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 82, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CLE 99, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 94, POR 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%