NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	9.1 [142]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +86.9%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	5.7 [155]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -16.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.87	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.2,0.35,0.26,0.43,0.87	0.26	0.63	0.02	20	72%	0.90	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.08
TJ Warren	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.13	0.01	10	64%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Alan Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	16	34%	0.00	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.03	0.19	-0.06	16	50%	0.30	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.10
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	74%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	7	65%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	8	64%	0.23	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	-0.00	9	28%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	18%	-0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	6	44%	-0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.6	15.5	29.2	1.6	33.3	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +79.8%

DAL -25.3%

DAL -10.6%

DAL -3.8%

PHX +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.8	105.3	101.0	107.7
season	13.9	16.2		105.4	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	14.5	13.3	15.9	14.3
DAL	15.2	16.1	16.0	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	68	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.52	15	-13	28	13.9	15.3	-1.35	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Eric Bledsoe	63	64	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.49	16	-14	30	13.6	15.6	-1.96	15.4	16.2	-0.84
TJ Warren	66	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-4	10	14.2	14.4	-0.22	15.3	16.7	-1.38
Tyler Ulis	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.52	-3	5	-8	15.2	13.0	2.20	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Marquese Chriss	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	0	2	14.5	14.1	0.43	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Alan Williams	51	53	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	0	2	14.1	14.5	-0.34	16.0	15.3	0.68
Jared Dudley	43	44	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	13	-24	14.8	13.9	0.86	16.2	15.3	0.86
Derrick Jones, Jr.	52	53	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.20	-5	7	-12	13.8	14.9	-1.16	15.9	15.4	0.52
Leandro Barbosa	29	29	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	14	-26	15.2	13.9	1.31	16.9	15.2	1.72

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	27	27	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.08	13	-15	28	16.3	15.5	0.79	15.3	13.9	1.35
J.J. Barea	31	31	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.03	15	-17	32	16.3	15.4	0.93	15.1	13.9	1.14
Dirk Nowitzki	62	62	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.14	14	-16	30	15.8	15.5	0.37	14.4	14.1	0.27
Salah Mejri	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	15.3	15.9	-0.54	14.5	14.2	0.36
Dwight Powell	19	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	17.7	15.2	2.48	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Yogi Ferrell	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	4	-10	15.8	15.6	0.15	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Harrison Barnes	73	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	6	-14	15.6	16.0	-0.47	14.3	14.3	0.03
Devin Harris	48	44	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.61	-1	-1	0	15.0	16.4	-1.45	14.7	14.0	0.72
Seth Curry	68	67	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.48	-16	14	-30	15.5	16.2	-0.69	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Wesley Matthews	70	68	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.52	-15	13	-28	15.5	16.3	-0.79	13.9	15.3	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.78,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 123, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.29,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.68,0.83,0	91.7%
WAS 95, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.59,0	90.9%
SAC 96, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.9,0.58,0	90.3%