inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement4.4 [929] MVPPaul George (IND): +17.7%
Indiana Pacers 115 Comeback1.1 [910] LVPIsh Smith (DET): -13.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stanley Johnson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.021271%0.0910.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.001758%0.091-0.02450%-0.02
Andre Drummond0.060,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.021152%0.081-0.01540%-0.06
Jon Leuer0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.02-0.041358%0.093-0.0400%0.00
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05267%-0.0000.00580%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021334%-0.0400.00333%-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01422%-0.0400.0010%-0.02
Reggie Jackson-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.020.01830%-0.082-0.044100%0.01
Ish Smith-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.01617%-0.052-0.0800%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.040.001275%0.211-0.044100%0.02
CJ Miles0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.030.011071%0.1400.001100%0.01
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.021460%0.0700.0020%-0.03
Glenn Robinson III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.01858%0.0500.00367%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.01-0.041040%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.03740%0.0400.001100%0.00
Rakeem Christmas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01657%0.0100.002100%0.01
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.01562%0.083-0.076100%0.06
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.000.05967%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.726.716.726.12.827.4128.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +33.3%
IND +19.4%
DET -13.7%
IND +6.6%
IND +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game14.916.214.8106.5123.7107.7
season15.014.9105.0107.5
opponent14.815.1108.0106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.516.014.713.514.9
IND15.816.716.016.516.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Bullock1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-222712.315.3-3.0216.416.20.24
Boban Marjanovic2223-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-171713.115.5-2.3816.716.10.57
Jon Leuer5352-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-13914.016.2-2.2216.316.10.19
Aron Baynes1919-0.07-0.430.350.02-3-141116.414.51.9115.816.3-0.48
Reggie Jackson4546-0.09-0.410.330.21-10-7-314.515.3-0.8516.316.10.24
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5151-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-6-515.414.31.1016.216.2-0.02
Stanley Johnson5456-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.16-3-141114.515.4-0.8816.416.00.33
Andre Drummond5151-0.40-0.10-0.310.01-14-3-1115.114.60.4816.216.3-0.11
Ish Smith4747-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.21-7-10315.314.50.8516.116.3-0.24
Tobias Harris5051-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-181-1915.913.72.1916.216.2-0.02
Marcus Morris5555-0.50-0.00-0.490.09-203-2315.414.11.2816.016.6-0.60

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thaddeus Young65640.50-0.000.50-0.0519-22116.316.00.2715.313.91.45
Paul George56560.50-0.000.50-0.0619-22116.216.3-0.1215.214.40.80
Myles Turner47480.490.010.47-0.1321-42515.916.6-0.6715.514.31.16
Jeff Teague45460.440.060.38-0.031611515.716.7-1.0415.714.11.63
CJ Miles44450.380.120.26-0.091611515.716.7-0.9015.913.91.97
Monta Ellis43410.090.41-0.31-0.02413-916.915.61.3114.815.0-0.18
Rodney Stuckey48460.060.44-0.380.03116-1516.715.71.0414.115.7-1.63
Glenn Robinson III37360.020.48-0.450.08-219-2116.316.20.1214.415.2-0.80
Rakeem Christmas11110.010.49-0.490.15-522-2715.616.3-0.6711.115.4-4.33
Al Jefferson35330.010.49-0.49-0.02116-1516.915.81.0115.414.60.72
Kevin Seraphin660.000.50-0.500.09-320-2314.716.3-1.678.015.4-7.38
Aaron Brooks660.000.50-0.500.09-320-2314.716.3-1.678.015.4-7.38
Lavoy Allen2222-0.000.50-0.50-0.03116-1516.416.20.2415.514.70.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 101, DEN 1310.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DAL 107, GSW 1270.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
DEN 114, GSW 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,194.5%