inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement4.1 [1047] MVPNene (DEN): +14.5%
Denver Nuggets 131 Comeback1.0 [1192] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -6.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.01-0.00-0.11972%0.154-0.0300%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.160.010.081284%0.091-0.001100%0.00
Will Bynum0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00750%0.0100.002100%0.01
Greg Monroe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00757%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Charlie Villanueva-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.06-0.00-0.06944%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Austin Daye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.000.083100%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001040%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.030.021547%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.001250%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.000.01875%0.1400.00875%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.010.04487%0.1200.00875%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.01-0.03767%0.1100.001100%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.210.030.162270%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.005100%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.050.010.02667%0.071-0.03667%-0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.01756%0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.051168%0.073-0.0700%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00955%0.023-0.072100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.527.916.721.42.425.6118.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +48.9%
DEN +11.1%
DEN +5.9%
DET -11.5%
DET -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game17.712.815.5107.4137.9105.7
season16.714.3106.4110.7
opponent15.515.2106.1110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.916.520.015.117.7
DEN12.812.312.713.212.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Daye4345-0.02-0.480.460.33-12-18615.519.6-4.0712.513.0-0.43
Chris Wilcox4345-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-14-215.719.5-3.7712.912.60.33
Charlie Villanueva4345-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-14-215.719.5-3.7712.912.60.33
Richard Hamilton4544-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-272419.316.32.9213.012.50.49
Will Bynum4649-0.16-0.340.180.40-19-11-815.919.5-3.5912.712.8-0.09
Ben Gordon5959-0.23-0.270.050.33-19-11-816.420.1-3.6812.712.9-0.26
Greg Monroe5150-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-14-16219.515.73.7712.612.9-0.33
Rodney Stuckey4544-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-15019.716.03.7312.513.0-0.52
Tayshaun Prince5554-0.46-0.04-0.410.04-17-13-419.515.34.1213.112.30.86
Tracy McGrady4040-0.47-0.03-0.440.09-19-11-820.215.94.2712.512.9-0.40

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith60580.57-0.070.65-0.3933-33613.012.40.6117.118.7-1.63
Kenyon Martin50510.370.130.24-0.041416-212.612.9-0.3319.515.73.77
Raymond Felton51520.370.130.24-0.252191213.012.50.5217.518.1-0.63
Wilson Chandler54550.370.130.23-0.041416-213.312.11.2019.415.44.03
Nene48490.320.180.150.001119-813.212.30.8719.316.13.22
Ty Lawson78760.190.31-0.12-0.281614212.215.2-3.0217.220.1-2.86
Chris Andersen34330.180.32-0.15-0.231416-212.413.0-0.6316.818.2-1.43
Al Harrington37350.130.37-0.24-0.311515012.812.8-0.0015.918.8-2.92
Gary Forbes42410.000.50-0.50-0.17624-1812.513.0-0.5017.817.70.02
Kosta Koufos880.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2813.712.71.0814.718.0-3.27
Timofey Mozgov13120.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2012.212.8-0.6114.018.3-4.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 98, IND 1150.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
BKN 109, MIN 1290.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
CLE 83, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,194.3%