NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	114		Excitement	7.3 [400]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +23.4%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	1.3 [428]		LVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): -11.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.02	12	72%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
DeMar DeRozan	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	17	70%	0.32	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.02
Delon Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	2	90%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	8	44%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.05	21	57%	0.13	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.06	0.03	24	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	13	39%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	37.8	15.4	23.3	1.7	40.5	145.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +59.1%

WAS -8.1%

WAS -5.0%

WAS -5.7%

TOR +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.8	112.9	105.0	107.7
season	15.2	14.4		110.0	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.8	13.1	15.6	15.6	14.5
WAS	16.8	13.6	13.2	12.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	51	52	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-11	30	13.9	15.1	-1.24	13.1	14.9	-1.78
Delon Wright	44	45	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-15	38	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.4	13.6	0.80
Norman Powell	55	56	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.05	19	-11	30	13.6	15.6	-1.93	13.1	15.1	-1.92
Patrick Patterson	57	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-16	40	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.6	13.2	1.46
DeMar DeRozan	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.44	-5	13	-18	15.3	11.7	3.65	14.0	14.0	0.00
Cory Joseph	71	69	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	9	-10	13.9	16.0	-2.11	14.2	13.5	0.73
Serge Ibaka	70	69	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	15	-22	14.7	14.0	0.70	13.8	14.5	-0.69
DeMarre Carroll	53	53	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.19	-13	21	-34	15.2	13.8	1.34	14.4	13.6	0.75
Jonas Valanciunas	26	26	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.22	-19	27	-46	15.9	14.0	1.90	14.7	13.8	0.88

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	76	78	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-18	28	13.5	15.6	-2.13	14.4	15.0	-0.68
Bradley Beal	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-15	22	14.1	13.6	0.57	14.4	14.8	-0.43
John Wall	80	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-14	20	13.8	14.8	-1.02	14.7	13.6	1.14
Tomas Satoransky	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	1	-10	14.0	14.0	-0.00	15.0	14.5	0.53
Marcin Gortat	65	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-10	12	14.6	13.0	1.55	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Markieff Morris	80	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-14	20	14.0	14.0	0.06	14.8	13.5	1.30
Ian Mahinmi	32	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.8	14.1	-0.23	16.1	13.9	2.21
Brandon Jennings	21	20	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	6	-20	14.8	13.8	1.02	13.6	14.7	-1.14
Kelly Oubre Jr.	25	24	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	7	-22	14.1	14.0	0.16	14.5	14.5	-0.07
Bojan Bogdanovic	42	43	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.04	-23	15	-38	13.9	14.1	-0.24	13.7	15.1	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.04,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0	92.4%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	92.1%
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	92.1%