NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	8.1 [255]		MVP	Alex Abrines (OKC): +20.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	6.3 [199]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -10.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Abrines	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.00	3	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	13	55%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.09	0.06	-0.12	0.03	36	52%	0.02	4	-0.11	15	100%	0.08
Steven Adams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	9	67%	0.20	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.00	23	60%	0.22	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.07
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	72%	0.23	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	3	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.03	7	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	36.0	16.5	28.5	3.6	39.6	152.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.0%

OKC -17.8%

POR +24.1%

OKC -1.1%

OKC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	14.8	113.5	115.2	107.7
season	14.0	14.9		107.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	15.1		109.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	15.3	14.6	13.9	14.2
POR	15.7	14.1	16.6	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	38	42	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.05	1	-6	7	14.6	13.9	0.72	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Norris Cole	23	25	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	14.2	14.2	-0.03	14.6	15.6	-0.91
Enes Kanter	51	54	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.42	15	-20	35	15.5	12.8	2.67	16.1	14.4	1.69
Alex Abrines	19	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	4	-13	12.6	14.6	-2.02	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Domantas Sabonis	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	2	-9	12.3	14.7	-2.39	17.8	14.7	3.10
Taj Gibson	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-9	13	14.5	13.4	1.07	14.4	17.3	-2.82
Doug McDermott	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-12	19	14.8	12.2	2.60	15.5	14.9	0.54
Russell Westbrook	75	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	2	-9	13.9	15.3	-1.39	15.2	15.8	-0.66
Steven Adams	50	51	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.01	-23	18	-41	13.5	14.9	-1.37	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Andre Roberson	63	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.49	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.8	-0.99	15.9	14.4	1.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	78	78	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-5	15	15.1	16.1	-1.04	13.9	15.5	-1.60
CJ McCollum	71	69	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-11	27	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Damian Lillard	79	77	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	0	5	14.9	16.8	-1.91	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Maurice Harkless	71	69	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.0	14.7	-0.76
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.05	15.1	12.6	2.49
Noah Vonleh	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	-3	11	16.4	14.7	1.70	13.0	14.8	-1.87
Shabazz Napier	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	17.3	15.1	2.19	14.8	14.1	0.67
Pat Connaughton	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	13.6	15.7	-2.02	14.7	14.1	0.62
Meyers Leonard	21	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	10	-15	16.1	15.1	1.04	15.5	13.9	1.60
Allen Crabbe	49	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	17	-29	15.5	15.1	0.37	14.4	14.0	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.72,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 129, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.91,0.92,1	90.9%
LAC 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.97,1	90.9%
DEN 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	90.5%