inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement7.4 [374] MVPSeth Curry (DAL): +45.6%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback3.8 [312] LVPWesley Matthews (DAL): -22.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Okaro White0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.04-0.00646%0.051-0.0210%-0.02
Josh Richardson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.011656%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Tyler Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00762%0.043-0.09250%-0.01
Rodney McGruder-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.00550%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
James Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08-0.05-0.05-0.021233%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09-0.05-0.06-0.021241%-0.082-0.01540%-0.05
Goran Dragic-0.200,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.01,-0.04,-0.19,-0.20.00-0.21-0.012153%0.144-0.34367%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.46,0.460.460.210.23-0.021776%0.481-0.034100%0.02
Harrison Barnes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.12,0.120.120.100.040.021857%0.1200.006100%0.07
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.050.003100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00175%0.051-0.04250%-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00938%-0.0500.003100%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01550%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.02930%-0.011-0.07250%-0.02
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.020.01520%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23-0.23-0.05-0.160.01464%0.055-0.286100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.830.115.324.72.434.5131.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +29.4%
DAL +28.3%
MIA -14.0%
DAL +5.3%
DAL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game15.117.214.8100.0107.9107.7
season15.416.2106.7104.4
opponent14.714.5107.2105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.516.016.015.115.1
DAL17.818.316.816.217.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Okaro White19190.03-0.530.560.09-2-5314.315.3-1.0119.716.63.17
Wayne Ellington3032-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-4116.514.42.1418.216.71.42
Luke Babbitt3231-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-101314.115.7-1.5416.617.6-1.02
Rodney McGruder4947-0.12-0.380.27-0.203-101314.515.8-1.3417.217.3-0.07
Josh Richardson1313-0.21-0.290.080.11-114-1516.414.91.4919.916.83.13
Goran Dragic7575-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-6515.214.50.7317.117.9-0.81
James Johnson5455-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.20-92-1116.113.62.4517.716.51.21
Dion Waiters6363-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.27-70-714.815.9-1.0916.219.7-3.51
Hassan Whiteside7171-0.510.01-0.52-0.39-4-3-115.414.21.1916.818.9-2.06
Tyler Johnson4444-0.520.02-0.53-0.19-114-1514.515.8-1.3017.117.4-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Seth Curry68680.68-0.180.870.3611-41516.320.4-4.1015.115.00.15
Harrison Barnes68680.68-0.180.870.3611-41516.320.4-4.1015.115.00.15
Wesley Matthews64650.55-0.050.610.4443116.319.7-3.4415.015.3-0.30
Nerlens Noel44430.380.120.250.2061518.516.02.5216.513.82.66
Quinn Cook30300.280.220.060.048-1917.517.10.3816.114.61.54
Yogi Ferrell56560.230.27-0.040.29-29-1117.217.3-0.1414.915.4-0.50
Salah Mejri540.150.35-0.21-0.0670716.017.3-1.3218.015.03.02
Dorian Finney-Smith2524-0.050.55-0.61-0.1434-119.716.33.4415.315.00.30
Dirk Nowitzki5051-0.080.58-0.660.12-714-2117.517.00.4914.016.7-2.70
Dwight Powell1112-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-310-1317.717.20.5513.915.3-1.38
Devin Harris2424-0.200.70-0.89-0.11-310-1319.816.33.4814.215.5-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 102, MEM 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.85,189.5%
VAN 99, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.92,188.7%
DAL 95, SEA 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.37,188.6%