NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	7.3 [401]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +37.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	1.8 [794]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -22.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	15	64%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	7	68%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	14	74%	0.30	6	-0.19	6	50%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	82%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	27	44%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.26	0.11	-0.01	29	64%	0.38	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.05	0.01	19	63%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	8	28%	-0.13	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	29.6	15.5	25.6	1.8	32.4	130.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.0%

MIN -8.1%

CLE +3.2%

MIN -1.5%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	14.8	122.1	113.7	107.7
season	14.9	15.3		113.5	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.2	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	13.8	17.4	15.2	14.9
MIN	15.4	15.0	14.5	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	46	47	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-7	22	14.1	15.7	-1.54	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Channing Frye	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-9	26	14.8	15.0	-0.19	16.2	13.8	2.35
Kyle Korver	56	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	14.1	16.0	-1.86	14.6	16.6	-1.96
LeBron James	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-3	14	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.4	15.3	0.10
Richard Jefferson	21	21	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-4	16	14.2	15.1	-0.92	17.1	14.9	2.22
Kyrie Irving	70	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	7	-6	15.5	13.3	2.15	15.9	13.6	2.31
Tristan Thompson	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	9	-10	15.5	13.5	1.94	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Iman Shumpert	50	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	15	-22	15.6	14.2	1.38	15.6	15.2	0.43
James Jones	21	20	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.01	-16	24	-40	13.4	15.3	-1.90	11.9	16.3	-4.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	15.6	15.4	0.17	13.1	15.1	-1.94
Nemanja Bjelica	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	14.9	15.7	-0.71	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Cole Aldrich	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.4	-0.09	13.7	15.0	-1.35
Brandon Rush	71	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-12	16	15.0	16.7	-1.74	15.4	13.3	2.11
Ricky Rubio	78	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	15.3	15.7	-0.36	15.0	14.4	0.67
Kris Dunn	17	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	1	-10	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-6	4	15.4	15.6	-0.24	15.5	12.8	2.75
Andrew Wiggins	82	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	1	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.24	15.0	14.2	0.84
Shabazz Muhammad	30	30	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	4	-16	16.5	14.9	1.59	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Gorgui Dieng	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	0	-8	15.7	14.5	1.20	14.9	14.8	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.23,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	92.2%
BOS 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.05,0.16,0.02,0	91.9%
CLE 88, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.7%