NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	7.2 [372]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (SAC): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	1.5 [396]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -27.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	19	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	11	45%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.23	-0.08	-0.03	12	19%	-0.15	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.01	20	55%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	17	39%	-0.12	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	27.0	14.8	22.7	2.0	30.2	125.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +59.2%

CHI -1.4%

CHI -22.5%

SAC +13.1%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.7	96.8	88.3	100.5
season	14.7	15.2		106.9	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	15.0	14.3	17.2	15.3
CHI	15.6	15.7	13.4	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	87	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Mike Bibby	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	4	0	14.9	17.2	-2.26	14.9	17.2	-2.31
Peja Stojakovic	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	5	-2	14.9	18.4	-3.46	15.2	16.7	-1.53
Doug Christie	66	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	5	-2	14.6	17.0	-2.36	14.7	16.7	-1.92
Anthony Peeler	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	2	4	15.8	15.0	0.87	16.4	14.6	1.82
Darius Songaila	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	7	-6	15.1	15.5	-0.39	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Jabari Smith	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	3	2	16.1	14.8	1.27	16.3	14.8	1.48
Gerald Wallace	10	10	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	18.4	14.9	3.46	16.7	15.2	1.53
Bobby Jackson	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	3	2	17.2	14.8	2.38	15.9	15.2	0.72

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-10	12	17.2	15.2	1.96	19.4	15.0	4.45
Marcus Fizer	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.6	15.3	0.28	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Eddy Curry	61	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-9	10	15.2	15.6	-0.47	13.7	18.2	-4.47
Jerome Williams	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-5	2	15.5	15.2	0.29	13.1	16.2	-3.08
Corie Blount	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.2	0.53	17.6	14.8	2.79
Rick Brunson	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.1	15.2	0.89
Antonio Davis	72	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-9	10	15.1	16.1	-1.05	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Eddie Robinson	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.5	-0.29	16.2	13.1	3.08
Kirk Hinrich	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-6	4	15.5	14.6	0.93	15.6	14.2	1.38
Jamal Crawford	83	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	1	-10	14.9	18.4	-3.44	14.7	19.1	-4.37
Tyson Chandler	38	37	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	15.9	15.0	0.90	16.9	14.2	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	93.7%
UTA 90, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.09,0	92.6%
LAL 101, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.6%