NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	7.1 [370]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +35.5%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	1.4 [388]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -13.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,0.06,0.06,0.35,0.35	0.01	0.32	-0.03	18	45%	0.40	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	12	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	15	66%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.02	9	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	14	58%	0.15	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	17	47%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.04
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	27.1	15.4	24.5	2.6	34.3	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.1%

UTA +14.3%

UTA +4.2%

UTA +7.2%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	17.4	16.7	15.3	107.1	97.6	106.0
season	15.3	15.9		109.5	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	15.8	21.3	17.3	17.4
SAS	15.9	15.5	18.7	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	74	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-8	23	16.8	21.8	-4.96	17.1	14.2	2.90
Deron Williams	68	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	0	7	17.6	16.5	1.15	17.1	14.9	2.25
Andrei Kirilenko	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	17.2	18.1	-0.92	15.2	20.7	-5.47
Carlos Boozer	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	18.0	15.6	2.33	17.3	14.7	2.65
Paul Millsap	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	5	-3	17.5	17.2	0.32	15.6	20.8	-5.23
Kyrylo Fesenko	19	20	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	16.6	17.7	-1.03	19.8	15.7	4.17
Eric Maynor	29	31	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	16.8	17.8	-0.97	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Kosta Koufos	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	15.6	17.6	-2.03	11.4	17.2	-5.83
Wesley Matthews	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	11	-15	19.0	16.4	2.59	18.7	15.3	3.38

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	44	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-11	15	16.7	16.6	0.14	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Malik Hairston	20	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	13.9	17.5	-3.54	19.4	16.9	2.41
Theo Ratliff	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-6	5	17.4	16.4	1.06	16.8	17.7	-0.83
Tim Duncan	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-13	19	16.8	16.3	0.40	17.8	15.9	1.96
DeJuan Blair	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-2	-3	14.7	17.2	-2.46	16.2	17.7	-1.50
Antonio McDyess	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-9	11	16.8	16.5	0.29	20.0	15.8	4.24
George Hill	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-11	15	17.3	15.8	1.51	18.0	16.5	1.55
Matt Bonner	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	5	-17	16.2	16.8	-0.56	15.8	18.0	-2.16
Roger Mason Jr.	40	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	6	-19	16.1	17.2	-1.10	15.5	18.9	-3.37
Michael Finley	42	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	5	-17	16.9	16.5	0.39	17.6	17.2	0.37
Richard Jefferson	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	1	-9	17.4	13.9	3.44	17.1	18.7	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	92.7%
SAC 91, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	92.6%
CHI 106, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.25,0.42,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.2%