NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	6.1 [614]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): +7.2%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	2.5 [585]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.03	10	71%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	21	56%	0.21	9	-0.25	12	83%	0.02
Sam Dekker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	65%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	13	38%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.06	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.4	15.4	26.6	2.5	26.3	124.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.0%

HOU +3.9%

CHA -6.3%

HOU +17.1%

HOU +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	13.4	15.0	14.8	105.9	93.1	107.7
season	13.7	15.1		113.2	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	12.3	12.1	14.7	13.4
CHA	14.2	14.4	16.7	14.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-1	14	13.6	12.6	1.02	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Patrick Beverley	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	1	10	14.1	12.1	2.06	15.1	14.6	0.49
Trevor Ariza	86	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	13.8	11.0	2.83	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Montrezl Harrell	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	0	12	11.8	14.8	-3.00	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Ryan Anderson	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	5	2	13.9	12.2	1.68	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Sam Dekker	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	4	4	11.8	14.6	-2.85	15.2	14.7	0.51
Corey Brewer	54	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	12	-12	12.2	14.7	-2.50	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Clint Capela	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	12	-12	14.8	11.8	3.00	15.1	14.8	0.28

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-14	16	15.2	14.9	0.34	11.5	14.2	-2.69
Miles Plumlee	31	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-10	8	15.2	14.8	0.38	11.3	14.4	-3.10
Cody Zeller	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-10	8	14.7	15.2	-0.53	14.2	12.8	1.46
Jeremy Lamb	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	15.5	14.8	0.69	11.6	14.0	-2.45
Marco Belinelli	45	46	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	14.6	15.3	-0.73	13.0	13.8	-0.79
Nicolas Batum	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	14.8	15.3	-0.43	14.2	11.5	2.76
Frank Kaminsky	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	15.6	14.5	1.10	11.8	14.7	-2.94
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.0	14.9	0.04	14.1	11.8	2.33
Marvin Williams	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.8	15.3	-0.43	14.3	11.3	2.95
Kemba Walker	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	2	-16	14.9	15.2	-0.34	14.2	11.5	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.4%
ORL 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHI 83, MIL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.0%