NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	5.4 [751]		MVP	Matt Barnes (SAC): +16.8%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	2.4 [144]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -7.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	7	100%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	16	62%	0.11	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.04
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	39%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.02	6	82%	0.20	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	21	62%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	8	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	29.5	15.3	22.9	1.8	33.2	128.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.6%

BOS -10.5%

SAC +7.2%

SAC +14.4%

SAC +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.8	92.9	109.1	107.7
season	14.7	15.4		110.1	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		110.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	13.9	16.0	14.1	14.0
SAC	16.1	11.9	17.5	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	55	53	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-18	20	14.0	14.0	-0.02	15.1	15.1	0.07
Jordan Mickey	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.8	14.1	-1.25	18.2	15.0	3.28
James Young	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.8	14.1	-1.25	18.2	15.0	3.28
Isaiah Thomas	68	68	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-15	14	13.9	14.3	-0.44	15.3	14.7	0.52
Jae Crowder	66	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-12	8	13.7	14.5	-0.74	15.3	14.7	0.61
Tyler Zeller	16	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-16	16	13.9	14.0	-0.14	16.9	14.8	2.13
Gerald Green	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-10	4	13.3	14.2	-0.95	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Al Horford	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	14.1	13.8	0.26	15.5	14.5	1.00
Marcus Smart	55	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-1	-14	13.7	14.4	-0.71	15.4	14.7	0.71
Kelly Olynyk	29	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-6	-4	14.1	13.9	0.21	15.2	15.0	0.17
Jonas Jerebko	21	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-2	-12	14.6	13.8	0.74	12.4	16.0	-3.54
Terry Rozier	26	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	14.9	13.7	1.21	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Jaylen Brown	56	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	-1	-14	14.5	13.3	1.26	14.5	15.8	-1.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	64	63	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.06	26	-10	36	14.7	15.9	-1.26	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Willie Cauley-Stein	50	49	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.09	24	-8	32	15.1	15.1	0.08	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Ben McLemore	62	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-1	18	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.5	13.2	1.34
Anthony Tolliver	76	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	14.9	15.7	-0.77	14.2	13.1	1.16
Arron Afflalo	67	70	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	15	-14	16.1	13.0	3.10	13.6	14.8	-1.18
Kosta Koufos	54	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	18	-20	15.7	14.4	1.29	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Ty Lawson	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	16	-16	13.6	15.8	-2.23	13.3	14.3	-1.05
Skal Labissiere	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.61	17.0	13.9	3.07
Georgios Papagiannis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.61	17.0	13.9	3.07
Darren Collison	76	76	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	17	-18	15.8	12.7	3.19	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Malachi Richardson	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	17	-18	12.6	15.4	-2.78	16.6	13.7	2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.41,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.84,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 78, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.8%
DAL 95, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
ATL 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%