NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	3.6 [1087]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +14.0%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	1.3 [1070]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -8.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	20	71%	0.19	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	61%	0.09	5	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kay Felder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.18	-0.00	0.13	13	82%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.07	11	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Ron Baker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	10	36%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	20	38%	-0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.1	16.8	25.3	3.4	38.3	141.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.5%

CLE +4.7%

CLE +8.9%

NYK -2.6%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.8	112.1	108.3	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		113.5	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	13.6	16.6	15.1	15.1
NYK	14.4	16.4	15.4	12.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	73	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	0	7	15.2	14.5	0.75	14.4	14.6	-0.21
LeBron James	84	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-4	15	15.0	15.3	-0.25	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Iman Shumpert	73	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-6	19	15.2	14.5	0.75	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Channing Frye	31	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-7	21	13.3	15.8	-2.52	16.2	13.6	2.69
Kyle Korver	64	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	14.5	16.1	-1.60	14.5	14.5	-0.08
DeAndre Liggins	33	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	2	3	16.4	14.4	1.97	14.5	14.5	0.01
Richard Jefferson	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	10	-13	14.5	15.4	-0.93	14.8	14.2	0.55
Tristan Thompson	68	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	14	-21	15.8	13.3	2.52	13.6	16.2	-2.69
Kay Felder	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	14	-21	14.7	15.2	-0.50	15.0	14.2	0.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	12	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	14.4	14.5	-0.07	16.3	14.9	1.45
Ron Baker	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-3	-1	16.2	14.4	1.85	12.2	15.2	-2.92
Sasha Vujacic	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	17.1	14.1	3.00	10.8	15.6	-4.80
Kristaps Porzingis	57	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.49	12	-19	31	13.1	16.6	-3.51	16.2	13.1	3.13
Justin Holiday	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.1	15.0	0.15
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-12	17	14.9	14.2	0.72	15.2	15.0	0.26
Kyle O'Quinn	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	2	-11	17.3	13.6	3.66	15.4	14.9	0.43
Brandon Jennings	83	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.1	17.1	-3.00	15.6	10.8	4.80
Carmelo Anthony	70	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	11	-29	14.8	13.7	1.13	14.7	16.0	-1.24
Courtney Lee	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	10	-27	14.9	13.8	1.07	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Willy Hernangomez	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.97	14.5	16.5	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHI 115, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 97, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0,0,0	96.7%