inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 93 Excitement2.6 [1175] MVPTom Gugliotta (PHX): +11.6%
Denver Nuggets 82 Comeback1.3 [906] LVPRobert Pack (DEN): -7.8%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.01-0.041761%0.121-0.007100%0.01
Shawn Marion0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.13-0.000.051285%0.132-0.052100%0.01
Tony Delk0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.00-0.06750%0.031-0.006100%0.00
Elliot Perry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Chris Dudley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00850%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.10-0.00-0.10635%-0.001-0.00837%-0.01
Daniel Santiago-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05250%-0.003-0.0100%0.00
Vinny Del Negro-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07617%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Mario Elie-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05525%-0.032-0.01250%-0.00
Jason Kidd-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01847%-0.004-0.071100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03945%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.02-0.00-0.031450%0.022-0.022100%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01267%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03725%-0.031-0.03250%-0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02837%0.003-0.0600%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.031645%-0.071-0.006100%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.032148%-0.055-0.03450%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game19.11.826.215.026.01.735.5125.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +36.8%
PHX +4.5%
PHX +12.6%
DEN -6.0%
PHX +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game13.614.915.593.080.4100.9
season14.915.297.7101.4
opponent15.215.4104.196.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX12.913.616.412.213.6
DEN16.416.416.311.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta71700.410.090.330.0612-11314.411.82.5214.715.3-0.63
Jason Kidd56570.350.150.19-0.0714-31713.613.7-0.1116.812.54.28
Clifford Robinson44450.310.190.12-0.2720-92913.913.40.5617.512.84.74
Shawn Marion48480.310.190.12-0.1616-52113.214.0-0.7517.212.84.47
Tony Delk59600.310.190.110.1656-113.414.0-0.6413.816.5-2.71
Rodney Rogers60610.250.250.010.40-516-2114.013.00.9513.217.4-4.15
Mario Elie41420.190.31-0.110.0265114.013.40.6416.513.82.71
Vinny Del Negro44450.150.35-0.190.24-314-1713.713.60.1112.516.8-4.28
Jake Tsakalidis26280.100.40-0.30-0.0247-312.813.9-1.1517.413.93.46
Daniel Santiago21230.100.40-0.300.30-718-2510.914.4-3.5012.315.6-3.33
Chris Dudley18180.010.49-0.470.13-415-1917.212.84.3311.615.6-3.97
Elliot Perry12130.000.50-0.500.09-314-179.214.2-5.069.515.7-6.12

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Davis2423-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-192710.116.3-6.2211.814.2-2.33
Ryan Bowen4948-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-192713.316.4-3.1113.813.50.33
Raef LaFrentz5150-0.28-0.22-0.050.08-121-1316.513.23.3314.812.52.28
George McCloud6463-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-111113.417.4-4.0514.012.91.07
Mark Strickland5654-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-9713.416.6-3.1813.014.3-1.31
Voshon Lenard6766-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-2-715.813.22.5614.312.22.10
Robert Pack8483-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.16-7-4-315.213.31.8813.116.1-3.01
Kevin Willis6665-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-165-2116.212.43.7713.713.50.25
James Posey4948-0.43-0.07-0.360.30-2514-3917.112.84.3513.114.1-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 84, NJN 710.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
LAL 107, DEN 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
CLE 111, NYK 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,096.8%