inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 97 Excitement3.4 [1132] MVPDeron Williams (UTA): +4.8%
Washington Wizards 89 Comeback1.2 [509] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -10.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Deron Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.050.070.000.03671%0.0500.002100%0.00
Keith McLeod0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.03945%0.0400.002100%0.00
Gordan Giricek0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00580%0.042-0.0100%0.00
Devin Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.02370%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.01974%0.126-0.105100%0.02
Matt Harpring0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.001148%0.031-0.02367%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,00.000.000.01564%0.012-0.01475%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.010,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.011850%0.043-0.062100%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02325%0.002-0.0420%-0.02
Jarron Collins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.030.030.19-0.000.161970%0.051-0.02580%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.033100%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.010.06962%0.022-0.04683%-0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0110%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Jared Jeffries0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00167%0.013-0.05450%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02425%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.010.021346%-0.034-0.07989%0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.041740%-0.035-0.071100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.81.825.114.825.01.836.2126.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +40.2%
WAS -1.9%
UTA +8.9%
UTA +2.5%
UTA +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAWASNBAUTAWASNBA
this game16.913.115.6100.093.7104.4
season17.015.1101.7107.4
opponent15.615.0105.5104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.415.417.616.216.9
WAS12.613.915.111.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko84830.410.090.320.2653216.916.50.3712.914.8-1.98
Mehmet Okur66630.370.130.240.119-11017.016.60.3112.713.9-1.16
Deron Williams63620.360.140.220.2153216.218.1-1.8512.414.4-1.97
Matt Harpring64630.340.160.170.2535-216.018.6-2.6512.913.5-0.64
Jarron Collins46440.250.250.000.0280818.015.82.2213.912.41.45
Devin Brown26240.240.26-0.01-0.029-11016.716.9-0.1715.512.33.20
Gordan Giricek38370.160.34-0.180.0735-218.315.92.4013.412.90.49
Keith McLeod34330.140.36-0.220.0535-218.116.21.8514.412.41.97
Greg Ostertag31320.130.37-0.240.16-19-1016.617.0-0.3113.912.71.16
Milt Palacio33340.090.41-0.310.21-412-1615.317.7-2.4011.114.2-3.14

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andray Blatche1513-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-142012.513.2-0.7616.217.0-0.72
Michael Ruffin1617-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-142011.113.5-2.4616.916.80.03
Etan Thomas2727-0.02-0.480.45-0.299-172614.512.51.9718.916.12.77
Donell Taylor2322-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-91015.312.42.9617.816.61.19
Calvin Booth1112-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-2-415.612.82.8615.317.1-1.74
Antonio Daniels6465-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.384-121613.412.50.9216.417.8-1.43
Gilbert Arenas7070-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-3-212.016.2-4.1516.517.9-1.38
Brendan Haywood4445-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-146-2012.813.4-0.5817.116.70.44
Jared Jeffries4851-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-146-2013.312.90.4617.216.50.76
Antawn Jamison7983-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.10-124-1612.814.8-2.0516.717.9-1.17
Caron Butler7880-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-157-2213.312.40.8416.817.2-0.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 110, MIN 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
MIA 93, BOS 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,096.9%
GSW 101, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%