NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	5.6 [708]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +11.1%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	1.5 [1167]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -9.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcelo Huertas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.05	14	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.08	14	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	20	48%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.03	0.07	24	69%	0.23	6	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	125%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	10	41%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.6	16.4	27.9	2.8	29.4	134.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.9%

BOS +4.6%

LAL -6.8%

LAL -4.8%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.8	103.9	109.7	107.7
season	14.5	14.7		104.8	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.3	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	15.2	15.0	13.0	14.0
BOS	13.7	13.0	13.8	15.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	30	31	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-10	14	14.7	13.7	0.99	15.0	13.5	1.53
Tarik Black	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	15.2	13.4	1.88	14.2	13.8	0.49
Marcelo Huertas	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-7	8	14.1	14.0	0.10	14.8	13.7	1.09
Ivica Zubac	12	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	0	-6	12.6	14.2	-1.64	11.5	14.2	-2.69
Luol Deng	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	15.6	12.9	2.68	14.6	13.5	1.13
Jordan Clarkson	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	13.4	14.6	-1.19	13.6	14.2	-0.54
D'Angelo Russell	67	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	14.8	12.7	2.09	14.0	13.8	0.20
Lou Williams	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	12.4	15.7	-3.28	14.2	13.6	0.60
Nick Young	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-3	0	14.1	13.9	0.18	13.9	14.0	-0.05
Brandon Ingram	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	13.8	14.6	-0.77	13.4	15.1	-1.67
Larry Nance Jr.	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	13.5	15.2	-1.65	13.4	14.9	-1.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	70	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-5	16	13.0	16.0	-3.00	13.4	15.5	-2.17
Isaiah Thomas	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	3	0	14.4	12.6	1.76	14.4	12.9	1.50
Jae Crowder	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	0	6	14.1	13.5	0.63	14.7	12.6	2.09
Al Horford	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	5	-4	14.5	13.0	1.54	14.4	13.5	0.91
Terry Rozier	40	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-1	8	13.9	13.9	-0.01	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Jaylen Brown	69	69	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	6	-6	13.8	14.3	-0.50	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Jonas Jerebko	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	4	-2	13.8	14.1	-0.27	13.3	14.7	-1.38
Kelly Olynyk	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	0	6	13.1	14.3	-1.20	14.5	13.8	0.65
Tyler Zeller	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	7	-8	12.3	14.1	-1.81	12.4	14.2	-1.80
Amir Johnson	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	11	-16	15.3	13.3	2.05	14.3	13.9	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 99, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
PHI 72, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%