NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	4.3 [955]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +17.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	2.0 [1084]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -13.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	13	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Royal Ivey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	13	34%	-0.07	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	10	74%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.05	-0.05	21	52%	0.17	0	0.00	12	75%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	16	47%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	10	58%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	2	17%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	32.1	15.8	25.6	1.8	30.2	134.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +16.1%

CLE +15.3%

PHI -0.9%

CLE +16.2%

CLE +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	18.6	15.5	82.8	102.3	106.4
season	15.5	16.9		105.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.9		101.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	17.2	14.1	14.8	14.7
CLE	15.6	19.8	19.5	20.2	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	51	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-12	8	13.7	16.1	-2.34	18.3	19.1	-0.76
Marreese Speights	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-13	10	10.5	14.9	-4.42	28.7	18.2	10.43
Donyell Marshall	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-13	10	15.9	14.6	1.34	19.5	18.5	1.01
Reggie Evans	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	17.7	14.0	3.72	21.6	17.9	3.63
Royal Ivey	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-12	8	14.5	14.8	-0.28	18.3	18.7	-0.43
Elton Brand	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	14.5	15.7	-1.20	17.9	21.5	-3.65
Willie Green	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-4	-8	14.5	15.2	-0.63	19.0	17.3	1.73
Thaddeus Young	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	15.8	14.0	1.82	18.3	18.8	-0.59
Andre Iguodala	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	14.9	12.2	2.67	18.7	17.4	1.28
Andre Miller	77	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	2	-20	14.6	15.9	-1.34	18.1	21.8	-3.68

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	1	14	18.3	19.7	-1.34	14.1	17.1	-2.99
LeBron James	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	18.3	19.6	-1.25	14.2	16.6	-2.46
Darnell Jackson	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	9	-2	18.7	18.5	0.23	15.1	14.3	0.84
Ben Wallace	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	3	10	19.1	18.0	1.08	14.9	14.5	0.38
Sasha Pavlovic	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	11	-6	17.5	19.8	-2.34	15.5	13.9	1.56
Anderson Varejao	63	63	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	8	0	19.5	16.2	3.26	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Wally Szczerbiak	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	10	-4	16.9	19.8	-2.86	16.2	13.6	2.66
Mo Williams	52	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	10	-4	20.1	16.3	3.77	15.2	13.9	1.25
Tarence Kinsey	6	7	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	9	-2	16.5	18.8	-2.26	12.0	14.9	-2.95
JJ Hickson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	18.5	18.6	-0.11	9.0	14.8	-5.85
Jawad Williams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	18.5	18.6	-0.11	9.0	14.8	-5.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 72, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 84, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 78, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%