NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	6.4 [559]		MVP	Marcus Morris (DET): +33.5%
Detroit Pistons	116		Comeback	1.3 [885]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -12.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	11	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	13	69%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	19	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	20	47%	0.04	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.09	6	-0.17	7	86%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.23	0.12	0.01	19	73%	0.39	2	-0.05	11	64%	-0.03
Jon Leuer	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	16	65%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	28.4	15.5	24.2	2.4	36.5	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.1%

MIN -6.3%

DET +21.3%

DET +11.6%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	15.6	14.8	109.1	120.8	107.7
season	15.3	15.0		109.3	105.0
opponent	15.1	14.7		106.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	13.4	13.7	12.7	14.0
DET	13.3	16.0	18.4	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	16	15	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-12	16	14.8	13.8	1.01	16.3	15.5	0.88
Zach LaVine	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.0	12.2	2.75	16.1	14.7	1.33
Tyus Jones	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-6	4	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.2	15.8	-0.52
Shabazz Muhammad	50	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	13.0	15.0	-2.00	15.1	16.1	-1.06
Nemanja Bjelica	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	13.2	14.6	-1.40	15.9	15.3	0.55
Ricky Rubio	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	13.9	14.0	-0.09	15.9	14.8	1.15
Gorgui Dieng	66	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	14.0	14.0	0.00	16.0	14.9	1.15
Karl-Anthony Towns	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	1	-10	14.3	13.3	0.99	14.9	17.4	-2.49
Andrew Wiggins	84	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	4	-16	13.8	14.9	-1.06	15.4	16.7	-1.27

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	77	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-6	20	15.5	16.1	-0.64	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Jon Leuer	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.4	16.2	-0.87	14.6	12.3	2.25
Stanley Johnson	26	27	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	0	8	14.9	15.9	-0.97	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Reggie Jackson	52	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-2	12	15.9	15.3	0.59	14.7	13.1	1.62
Aron Baynes	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	10	-12	15.6	15.6	-0.01	12.3	15.1	-2.76
Andre Drummond	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	0	8	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.3	12.1	3.20
Ish Smith	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	12	-16	15.8	15.4	0.38	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	72	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	8	-8	15.5	15.8	-0.26	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Tobias Harris	44	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	16.2	15.1	1.09	13.3	14.6	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.71,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 97, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
IND 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%