inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 98 Excitement5.5 [727] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +32.6%
Detroit Pistons 118 Comeback2.9 [698] LVPJon Leuer (DET): -10.4%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyreke Evans0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.08-0.01750%0.131-0.03475%-0.01
Solomon Hill0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.04-0.03764%0.121-0.0200%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.02856%0.0700.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0.010,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.01-0.05831%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Terrence Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.02958%0.041-0.041100%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.021759%0.024-0.05367%-0.01
Anthony Davis-0.100,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.02-0.090.032457%0.075-0.17683%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.330.100.101886%0.342-0.02875%0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.06-0.011370%0.201-0.021100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.05-0.00580%0.1100.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.040.03783%0.152-0.06450%-0.02
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.011361%0.072-0.05250%-0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01737%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Marcus Morris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01939%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02729%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00714%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.725.415.825.01.828.3120.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +28.6%
NOP -5.3%
DET +9.6%
DET +15.3%
DET +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDETNBANOPDETNBA
this game14.114.614.898.0116.8107.7
season14.115.0104.1105.0
opponent15.115.0106.4106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP14.714.113.214.414.1
DET14.115.914.513.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Buddy Hield48490.39-0.891.270.245-253013.015.1-2.0614.015.1-1.10
Jrue Holiday75750.02-0.520.540.20-6-14814.114.00.0714.415.1-0.74
Solomon Hill7475-0.06-0.440.380.15-7-13613.715.3-1.5914.714.30.40
Anthony Davis8384-0.11-0.390.280.03-5-151014.313.21.0314.813.51.24
Terrence Jones5959-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.05-10-10014.313.80.4414.215.1-0.95
Dante Cunningham4241-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-9-214.713.70.9915.613.91.68
Donatas Motiejunas2526-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-18-2-1614.913.81.0513.814.8-0.97
E'Twaun Moore5858-0.660.16-0.820.10-266-3214.114.1-0.0914.814.20.58
Tyreke Evans3638-0.790.29-1.08-0.14-222-2414.513.90.6014.714.50.15

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ish Smith58560.96-0.461.42-0.1036-165214.215.1-0.9214.313.80.57
Stanley Johnson52510.95-0.451.40-0.1136-165214.015.2-1.2414.214.00.14
Tobias Harris54540.85-0.351.190.1424-42814.814.30.5015.212.82.34
Aron Baynes40410.81-0.311.12-0.1031-114214.114.9-0.7714.014.2-0.15
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope82820.220.28-0.06-0.10119214.514.7-0.1513.915.1-1.25
Reggie Bullock11110.110.39-0.27-0.03515-1014.914.50.3913.914.1-0.20
Marcus Morris7371-0.230.73-0.96-0.14-323-2614.814.10.6813.914.6-0.70
Andre Drummond5553-0.260.76-1.02-0.03-828-3614.614.50.1214.214.00.21
Jon Leuer3737-0.450.95-1.390.02-1636-5215.114.30.8213.314.5-1.22
Reggie Jackson4344-0.460.96-1.420.01-1636-5215.114.20.9213.814.3-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,192.8%
CHA 90, CLE 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,192.6%
DET 78, MIA 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,192.5%