NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	122		Excitement	5.9 [647]		MVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): +11.8%
Sacramento Kings	118		Comeback	1.6 [708]		LVP	Andre Roberson (OKC): -11.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	18	62%	0.18	4	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.06	0.04	21	68%	0.24	7	-0.12	11	91%	0.03
Victor Oladipo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.16	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Alex Abrines	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	87%	0.13	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	6%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.17	-0.00	0.10	9	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	18	49%	0.03	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	20	54%	0.05	6	-0.13	17	82%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.5	36.2	14.7	30.2	1.5	43.3	151.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +13.8%

OKC +1.1%

OKC +13.7%

OKC +15.7%

OKC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	13.1	13.9	14.8	114.0	111.3	107.7
season	14.0	15.4		107.0	106.0
opponent	14.6	15.1		110.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.5	12.8	14.2	12.3	13.1
SAC	15.3	13.4	15.2	12.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	72	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-15	34	12.7	14.0	-1.32	14.0	13.7	0.34
Russell Westbrook	79	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	12.9	13.8	-0.87	14.5	12.3	2.20
Alex Abrines	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-5	14	13.4	13.0	0.38	12.8	14.6	-1.80
Cameron Payne	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-6	16	13.5	12.9	0.55	13.1	14.4	-1.29
Jerami Grant	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	0	4	12.4	13.7	-1.35	12.8	14.8	-1.98
Andre Roberson	58	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	7	-10	13.4	12.9	0.52	15.0	12.7	2.28
Victor Oladipo	90	90	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	11	-18	13.1	13.1	0.03	13.8	14.6	-0.85
Domantas Sabonis	62	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	13	-22	13.1	13.2	-0.06	14.1	13.6	0.53
Steven Adams	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	14.2	12.5	1.71	14.5	13.5	0.95
Joffrey Lauvergne	9	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	7	-10	13.8	13.1	0.70	12.3	14.0	-1.73

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	51	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-8	12	15.2	12.7	2.45	14.5	12.0	2.45
Darren Collison	60	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-15	26	14.2	13.5	0.64	12.9	13.5	-0.59
Willie Cauley-Stein	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	14.1	13.9	0.21	12.3	13.2	-0.97
Anthony Tolliver	68	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.44	10	-14	24	14.0	13.8	0.18	13.5	12.4	1.05
Rudy Gay	82	84	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.45	10	-14	24	13.7	14.5	-0.77	12.4	15.8	-3.42
Kosta Koufos	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	5	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.64	14.5	12.5	1.94
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	14.3	12.9	1.46	13.0	13.5	-0.53
Ty Lawson	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	11	-26	13.5	14.2	-0.64	13.5	12.9	0.59
Arron Afflalo	40	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	13	-30	13.7	14.0	-0.29	13.2	13.1	0.10
Matt Barnes	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	12.8	15.5	-2.62	12.3	14.4	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,0	94.5%
SAS 112, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.3%
LAL 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%