NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	6.5 [553]		MVP	Seth Curry (DAL): +20.8%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	3.1 [351]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (DAL): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01	0.09	-0.03	0.05	19	61%	0.15	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Marcus Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	26	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	8	89%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	11	74%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	72%	0.21	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	73%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	18	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pierre Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	33.4	15.8	24.1	2.4	29.3	130.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.7%

DAL +9.9%

DAL +6.3%

WAS -14.0%

DAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.8	107.1	114.1	107.7
season	14.4	16.2		109.9	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.9		107.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	11.4	16.4	14.0	14.0
DAL	13.9	13.0	16.3	18.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sheldon McClellan	12	14	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-8	8	11.8	14.3	-2.46	14.1	15.4	-1.36
John Wall	82	82	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-13	18	13.8	14.9	-1.06	15.0	16.5	-1.55
Marcin Gortat	81	83	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-13	18	13.9	14.4	-0.44	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Otto Porter	76	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-15	22	14.1	13.6	0.51	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Bradley Beal	74	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-11	14	14.0	14.0	0.04	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Markieff Morris	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	4	-16	14.5	13.4	1.12	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	0	-8	13.1	15.0	-1.87	15.4	15.1	0.32
Jason Smith	17	16	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	5	-18	14.4	13.9	0.44	15.9	15.1	0.83
Trey Burke	16	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	5	-18	14.9	13.8	1.06	16.5	15.0	1.55
Marcus Thornton	28	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	6	-20	15.2	13.5	1.71	16.8	14.6	2.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	43	45	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.20	18	-10	28	16.9	14.0	2.90	14.4	13.6	0.80
Dwight Powell	26	27	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-10	28	16.0	15.0	0.98	14.6	13.7	0.88
Devin Harris	32	33	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-11	30	16.4	14.7	1.67	14.3	13.8	0.43
Andrew Bogut	39	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	15.9	14.8	1.17	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Dirk Nowitzki	51	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	2	4	14.4	16.1	-1.67	14.7	13.2	1.49
Pierre Jackson	7	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	3	2	10.4	15.6	-5.18	16.0	13.8	2.19
Justin Anderson	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	3	2	15.9	15.2	0.75	11.8	14.2	-2.44
Salah Mejri	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	10	-12	18.6	14.9	3.68	10.6	14.3	-3.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	56	54	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.37	-12	20	-32	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.0	14.0	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	80	79	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	14	-20	14.9	16.7	-1.78	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Deron Williams	68	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	14.7	16.5	-1.76	14.0	13.9	0.08
Harrison Barnes	74	72	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	21	-34	14.8	16.5	-1.71	13.8	14.5	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.49,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, CHH 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	92.6%
PHX 107, DET 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	91.3%
GSW 81, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	91.2%