inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement7.0 [453] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +49.8%
Utah Jazz 98 Comeback2.0 [603] LVPDeMarre Carroll (TOR): -10.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.500,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.50.240.25-0.012084%0.584-0.08367%-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.120.050.01587%0.1600.00667%-0.03
Terrence Ross0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.07-0.00771%0.1400.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.00590%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00275%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.012444%-0.012-0.06667%-0.03
Cory Joseph-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00825%-0.0800.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.01617%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.20.200.090.110.001363%0.221-0.02475%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.10.100.050.02-0.031659%0.193-0.09786%0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.010.03776%0.071-0.033100%0.02
Raul Neto00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01-0.00750%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.02833%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.040.001361%0.093-0.11250%-0.02
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.02-0.080.00660%0.012-0.073100%0.02
Rodney Hood0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01617%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01333%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.429.514.732.12.332.6136.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +49.4%
UTA -20.1%
UTA -12.8%
TOR +31.8%
TOR +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORUTANBATORUTANBA
this game14.915.914.8111.8104.3107.7
season15.216.1110.0108.0
opponent15.014.9105.0106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.113.217.214.414.9
UTA16.215.016.316.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry68670.96-0.461.430.3521-153613.419.0-5.6916.314.91.44
DeMarre Carroll49490.57-0.070.640.2511-51613.416.5-3.0316.515.21.29
Patrick Patterson63630.56-0.060.620.367-1816.012.63.4215.816.2-0.37
Norman Powell38380.330.170.160.2433015.314.60.7814.616.8-2.24
Lucas Nogueira62600.310.190.120.34-17-816.012.73.2114.917.6-2.67
Jonas Valanciunas31340.190.31-0.12-0.027-1812.716.0-3.2117.614.92.67
Pascal Siakam11110.010.49-0.49-0.0215-413.815.0-1.2117.515.71.74
DeMar DeRozan7170-0.040.54-0.590.28-1117-2815.612.72.8815.617.0-1.40
Terrence Ross3841-0.050.55-0.59-0.0815-413.915.6-1.7116.315.60.63
Cory Joseph3437-0.340.84-1.19-0.08-915-2417.513.44.1315.816.0-0.26

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raul Neto32290.18-0.680.860.064-101415.915.9-0.0617.213.83.33
Derrick Favors29290.17-0.670.83-0.016-121815.915.90.0214.814.9-0.18
Trey Lyles5959-0.03-0.470.44-0.3210-162615.217.1-1.9115.314.11.16
Joe Ingles5455-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.446-121814.917.3-2.5016.213.03.18
Joe Johnson3230-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-104-1416.615.61.0314.115.3-1.15
Rodney Hood2726-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-137-2017.015.51.5713.415.5-2.08
Boris Diaw2625-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-137-2017.615.32.3512.615.7-3.07
Shelvin Mack6969-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.27-5-1-415.915.9-0.0114.017.5-3.47
Gordon Hayward7374-0.610.11-0.73-0.47-5-1-415.915.90.0115.114.20.91
Rudy Gobert6969-0.650.15-0.79-0.35-104-1416.015.80.2115.014.60.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 99, MIL 870.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,092.9%
GSW 103, PHX 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,092.5%
HOU 93, SAC 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.02,0,0,092.3%