NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	6.4 [512]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +13.5%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	1.8 [162]		LVP	Tony Delk (PHX): -20.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Curley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	20	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Chris Mullin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	13	56%	0.01	5	-0.17	10	100%	0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	19	71%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.02	14	74%	0.25	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	3	58%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	9	41%	-0.06	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	27.6	16.0	29.0	2.0	31.3	131.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +0.3%

GSW +16.0%

GSW +12.0%

GSW +18.6%

GSW +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.5	104.0	96.9	100.9
season	15.0	14.9		95.3	97.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		96.2	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	14.6	14.1	16.0	14.4
PHX	17.0	14.8	14.1	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	94	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-4	16	14.4	15.8	-1.45	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Vinny Del Negro	68	66	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	1	6	15.0	13.2	1.79	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Mookie Blaylock	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.21	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Bob Sura	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	14.4	14.6	-0.24	14.8	14.8	0.03
Vonteego Cummings	24	22	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-1	10	14.1	14.5	-0.45	15.0	14.8	0.18
Marc Jackson	76	77	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	10	-12	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Bill Curley	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	15.1	14.1	0.97	15.8	14.3	1.42
Adam Keefe	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	3	2	15.7	14.2	1.51	15.4	14.7	0.67
Chris Mullin	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	7	-6	13.2	15.0	-1.79	16.4	14.0	2.36

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	15.1	14.8	0.30	11.7	14.9	-3.19
Mario Elie	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-7	6	15.2	13.7	1.48	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Elliot Perry	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.6	14.9	-0.29	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Jake Tsakalidis	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	0	-8	16.2	14.0	2.13	15.4	13.9	1.56
Clifford Robinson	88	88	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	14.7	15.5	-0.76	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Paul McPherson	15	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.8	0.37	13.3	14.7	-1.36
Rodney Rogers	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.4	15.6	-1.21	15.4	12.5	2.89
Tony Delk	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.0	12.7	2.33
Shawn Marion	86	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	14.7	15.9	-1.25	14.3	15.6	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.3%
MIA 86, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
TOR 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	92.5%