NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	110		Excitement	8.3 [225]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +40.6%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	5.3 [156]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -14.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	14	57%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	78%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	6	72%	0.21	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Austin Rivers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	72%	0.19	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	21	52%	-0.01	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	46%	-0.01	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	15	42%	-0.03	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.27	0.13	-0.01	23	72%	0.46	1	-0.05	11	82%	0.04
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.20	-0.00	17	62%	0.34	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.01	0.20	-0.01	8	53%	0.24	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	87%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ochefu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.03	-0.03	16	45%	0.11	5	-0.16	8	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	31.4	16.7	25.2	2.5	38.5	144.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +50.1%

WAS +18.5%

LAC -14.4%

LAC -0.6%

LAC -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	14.8	112.2	119.4	107.7
season	15.0	14.4		110.8	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	15.3	15.7	16.4	15.5
WAS	13.0	14.7	13.6	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	25	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	16.9	15.0	1.88	15.0	13.5	1.54
Raymond Felton	21	22	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-5	3	17.2	15.1	2.13	14.6	13.7	0.93
Jamal Crawford	58	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-12	17	15.4	15.7	-0.30	14.6	12.9	1.77
Wesley Johnson	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-5	3	17.3	15.1	2.22	15.4	13.5	1.93
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	5	-17	15.3	15.6	-0.28	13.0	14.4	-1.35
JJ Redick	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.7	-2.19	13.6	14.2	-0.57
Austin Rivers	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	16.9	14.2	2.71	13.9	13.8	0.10
Blake Griffin	80	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	15.1	17.3	-2.22	13.5	15.4	-1.93
Chris Paul	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	15.1	17.2	-2.13	13.7	14.6	-0.93
DeAndre Jordan	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	2	-11	15.0	16.9	-1.88	13.5	15.0	-1.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-8	23	13.7	14.3	-0.58	15.7	15.0	0.71
Bradley Beal	80	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-3	13	13.4	15.7	-2.27	15.0	17.6	-2.61
Otto Porter	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-1	9	13.7	14.5	-0.81	14.7	17.5	-2.82
John Wall	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	13.4	15.7	-2.29	15.0	17.5	-2.55
Marcin Gortat	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	13.8	14.3	-0.57	15.4	16.2	-0.86
Tomas Satoransky	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	14.5	13.8	0.77	18.5	15.0	3.48
Marcus Thornton	26	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	14.8	13.5	1.28	16.2	15.3	0.97
Trey Burke	32	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	8	-9	15.2	13.2	1.96	17.0	14.7	2.22
Daniel Ochefu	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	12	-17	15.2	13.6	1.58	16.2	15.4	0.79
Andrew Nicholson	25	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	14.2	13.7	0.50	16.2	15.3	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.92,1	91.4%
SEA 93, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	91.1%
DEN 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.65,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.9,0.99,1	90.9%