NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	7.1 [441]		MVP	Austin Rivers (LAC): +33.2%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	1.5 [1069]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -9.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.25	0.10	0.02	12	100%	0.35	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	6	73%	0.18	0	0.00	18	67%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	67%	0.20	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.19	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	8%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	11	83%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	21	69%	0.26	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	17	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.12
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	27.3	15.7	35.2	2.5	41.2	150.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +23.4%

LAC +26.8%

LAC +3.8%

ORL -6.2%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	14.8	122.8	117.4	107.7
season	15.0	14.6		110.8	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		109.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	15.3	14.1	16.0	15.3
ORL	16.5	17.4	16.5	14.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	15.4	14.9	0.54	16.7	13.7	2.98
JJ Redick	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	15.5	15.0	0.43	17.3	14.4	2.93
Chris Paul	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	3	-1	14.7	16.4	-1.73	16.3	15.4	0.92
DeAndre Jordan	66	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	14.6	17.0	-2.46	16.4	15.0	1.36
Raymond Felton	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	15.2	15.3	-0.15	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Wesley Johnson	27	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-1	7	15.8	15.0	0.77	16.6	15.8	0.81
Blake Griffin	65	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Marreese Speights	25	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	2	1	17.7	14.4	3.31	16.2	16.0	0.19
Jamal Crawford	39	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	15.0	15.5	-0.43	14.4	17.3	-2.93
Alan Anderson	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	16.1	15.1	1.05	13.3	16.7	-3.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-9	13	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.2	14.9	1.34
Damjan Rudez	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.2	15.9	1.31	10.4	15.9	-5.57
Evan Fournier	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-6	7	15.8	16.5	-0.69	14.7	16.8	-2.19
Jeff Green	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-3	1	15.3	17.1	-1.84	14.3	16.7	-2.44
Aaron Gordon	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	16.4	14.4	1.95	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Elfrid Payton	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	2	-9	15.5	16.6	-1.08	15.5	15.0	0.46
Serge Ibaka	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-9	13	15.7	16.6	-0.97	16.0	14.1	1.92
Bismack Biyombo	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	6	-17	17.0	14.0	2.97	16.3	13.1	3.27
D.J. Augustin	57	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.39	-9	4	-13	16.5	15.3	1.11	15.4	15.1	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.6%
LAC 93, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.15,0,0.08,0	92.7%
NYK 95, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.7%