NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	3.4 [1123]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +13.9%
Houston Rockets	134		Comeback	1.1 [1260]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -7.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	75%	0.15	6	-0.09	8	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	13	43%	0.01	5	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	7	56%	-0.00	6	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	13	27%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	19	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.24	0.01	0.11	13	100%	0.15	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	14	74%	0.20	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	10	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	9	47%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	-0.01	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	29.8	15.5	27.0	1.8	27.5	129.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.4%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +1.1%

HOU +11.3%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	11.0	14.8	86.4	119.6	107.7
season	14.5	13.7		104.8	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	14.2	14.7	16.4	15.0
HOU	10.6	11.6	10.6	11.3	11.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	15.1	14.9	0.21	11.5	10.9	0.55
Ivica Zubac	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	15.1	14.9	0.15	11.7	10.9	0.72
Thomas Robinson	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.44	-18	-21	3	15.6	14.7	0.96	11.5	10.8	0.74
Marcelo Huertas	72	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.42	-20	-19	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.07	10.9	11.2	-0.28
Larry Nance Jr.	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.54	-25	-14	-11	15.2	14.7	0.45	11.9	10.3	1.61
Luol Deng	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-29	19	14.3	15.5	-1.23	10.3	11.7	-1.41
Lou Williams	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.47	-26	-13	-13	14.6	15.4	-0.74	11.1	11.0	0.09
Timofey Mozgov	35	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-20	1	14.9	15.0	-0.06	10.5	11.3	-0.78
Brandon Ingram	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.56	-31	-8	-23	15.1	14.7	0.30	11.2	10.7	0.49
Julius Randle	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	-21	3	14.9	15.1	-0.19	10.6	11.8	-1.20
Jordan Clarkson	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.35	-26	-13	-13	15.1	14.4	0.72	11.1	10.8	0.26

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	60	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.16	20	19	1	10.3	11.8	-1.46	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Trevor Ariza	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	17	5	10.2	12.3	-2.09	14.0	16.4	-2.33
James Harden	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	20	-1	10.7	11.6	-0.93	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Eric Gordon	55	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.48	28	11	17	10.8	11.2	-0.41	15.4	14.4	1.00
Nene	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.46	26	13	13	10.1	11.6	-1.54	15.2	14.8	0.49
Clint Capela	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.19	16	23	-7	11.9	10.4	1.54	15.4	14.7	0.68
Patrick Beverley	76	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.66	30	9	21	10.9	11.2	-0.25	15.2	14.4	0.87
Sam Dekker	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.51	22	17	5	12.0	10.2	1.86	15.7	14.3	1.36
Corey Brewer	44	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.39	17	22	-5	12.3	10.2	2.09	16.4	14.0	2.33
KJ McDaniels	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	38	-37	11.5	10.9	0.55	15.1	14.9	0.21
Tyler Ennis	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	42	-45	14.8	10.8	4.02	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Montrezl Harrell	22	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	42	-45	11.0	11.0	-0.03	13.5	15.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, IND 131	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NYK 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 70, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%