NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	70		Excitement	3.4 [1074]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +2.6%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.0 [1230]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -18.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	15	44%	-0.04	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	10	23%	-0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	11	41%	-0.07	6	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	14	56%	0.06	5	-0.06	8	50%	-0.03
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	63%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	73%	-0.01	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	16	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	26.3	15.7	28.4	2.3	21.6	120.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.5%

CHI +9.0%

CHI +11.3%

CHI +7.3%

TOR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.6	75.3	102.1	102.5
season	15.5	16.2		98.7	105.8
opponent	15.8	14.8		97.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	15.5	16.5	16.0	15.9
CHI	14.4	16.4	14.2	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	43	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-24	21	17.0	15.0	1.93	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Chris Garner	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	14.3	16.2	-1.88	13.9	14.9	-0.95
Shawn Respert	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-26	25	18.0	14.9	3.13	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Reggie Slater	57	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-21	15	16.5	14.9	1.58	15.4	13.7	1.65
John Wallace	61	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-16	5	16.8	14.2	2.58	15.7	13.1	2.57
Oliver Miller	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-10	-7	16.6	15.1	1.51	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Zan Tabak	51	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.20	-22	-5	-17	14.8	17.3	-2.54	13.8	15.9	-2.10
Walt Williams	51	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	-3	-21	14.5	17.6	-3.11	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	55	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.23	-27	0	-27	14.9	17.3	-2.37	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Marcus Camby	54	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.11	-23	-4	-19	15.4	16.6	-1.12	14.9	14.4	0.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	2	23	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Michael Jordan	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	3	21	14.9	14.4	0.50	15.0	17.1	-2.09
Luc Longley	43	42	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	2	23	14.4	15.0	-0.58	14.9	16.7	-1.84
Dennis Rodman	65	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	2	23	15.2	13.8	1.42	16.1	15.5	0.61
Toni Kukoc	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	7	13	13.9	16.7	-2.80	16.7	13.8	2.92
Scott Burrell	27	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	20	-13	16.7	13.9	2.80	13.8	16.7	-2.92
Steve Kerr	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	19	-11	12.7	15.9	-3.12	16.3	15.7	0.60
Bill Wennington	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	19	-11	14.0	15.2	-1.14	18.0	14.6	3.36
Randy Brown	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	25	-23	14.6	14.8	-0.22	18.7	14.6	4.16
Joe Kleine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	10.4	15.0	-4.58	12.8	16.1	-3.29
Jud Buechler	30	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	30	-33	14.8	14.7	0.09	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Jason Caffey	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	31	-35	16.6	13.7	2.84	15.5	16.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 74, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NOH 88, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%