NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	3.0 [1132]		MVP	Terry Dehere (SAC): +4.3%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	1.1 [219]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -13.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	11	32%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	51%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	11	19%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.07	15	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	9	68%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.04	7	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	28.2	15.3	22.5	1.4	26.6	118.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.3%

SAC +1.6%

SAC +8.4%

SAC +1.9%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.6	93.9	109.9	102.5
season	15.3	15.2		109.3	98.5
opponent	15.3	16.2		104.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.2	12.9	20.5	11.2	14.6
SAC	13.1	13.7	14.8	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wingate	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-27	35	10.9	15.5	-4.61	15.1	14.2	0.96
Aaron Williams	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-29	39	10.1	15.4	-5.31	15.4	14.2	1.26
Stephen Howard	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	11.2	15.1	-3.85	11.9	14.7	-2.79
Dale Ellis	41	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-22	25	14.3	14.7	-0.40	13.7	14.9	-1.27
Greg Anthony	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-18	17	12.6	16.0	-3.38	14.5	14.3	0.25
Jerome Kersey	49	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-17	15	13.3	15.9	-2.61	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Sam Perkins	43	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-12	5	16.4	13.2	3.21	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Jim McIlvaine	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-8	-3	15.7	14.3	1.34	17.1	13.8	3.33
Detlef Schrempf	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.17	-19	0	-19	15.3	13.3	2.04	15.3	12.8	2.59
Gary Payton	67	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	0	-19	15.7	12.0	3.71	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Hersey Hawkins	57	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	6	-31	14.7	14.4	0.23	15.0	13.5	1.47
Vin Baker	61	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.50	-35	16	-51	16.5	11.5	5.00	13.7	15.6	-1.89

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	65	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.31	29	-10	39	14.0	15.0	-1.01	16.0	12.0	4.00
Mitch Richmond	71	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.33	28	-9	37	13.5	16.5	-3.02	15.5	12.4	3.18
Billy Owens	46	47	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.28	26	-7	33	13.7	14.9	-1.17	15.1	14.1	0.95
Michael Stewart	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	-3	25	13.5	15.3	-1.85	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Anthony Johnson	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	6	7	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.2	14.0	1.26
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	38	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	21	-23	15.7	13.6	2.05	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Olden Polynice	49	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	22	-25	15.3	13.5	1.85	14.7	14.4	0.29
Terry Dehere	51	49	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	22	-25	14.5	14.3	0.19	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Mark Hendrickson	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	24	-29	15.5	13.8	1.65	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Michael Smith	36	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	21	-23	14.8	14.2	0.62	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	27	-35	15.4	14.2	1.26	11.1	15.3	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
IND 96, NOH 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	97.4%
SAS 91, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%