NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	2.7 [1228]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): +7.2%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.1 [1055]		LVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): -6.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	4	100%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	70%	0.09	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	64%	0.08	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.02	-0.09	9	45%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.08	6	58%	-0.05	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.6	28.4	16.4	27.5	2.3	30.6	128.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.4%

NOH +6.5%

NOH +10.5%

NOH +7.6%

NOH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	16.9	15.5	107.9	120.0	105.7
season	14.7	16.2		103.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		104.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	17.6	14.1	14.9	15.2
NOH	16.0	17.5	17.2	17.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	9	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.4	15.5	-3.11	16.5	17.0	-0.55
James Posey	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-24	36	14.9	15.4	-0.49	17.1	16.9	0.21
Mike Dunleavy	38	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.42	12	-24	36	14.4	15.9	-1.51	17.7	16.3	1.47
A.J. Price	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.40	11	-23	34	13.9	16.5	-2.66	17.3	16.6	0.80
Josh McRoberts	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.32	8	-20	28	13.8	16.7	-2.95	17.1	16.7	0.36
Brandon Rush	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-10	8	14.0	15.9	-1.86	18.0	16.4	1.60
Jeff Foster	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	14.1	15.8	-1.63	18.4	16.3	2.12
Roy Hibbert	38	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	8	-28	16.3	14.5	1.84	15.8	17.8	-2.01
Paul George	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	6	-24	16.5	14.0	2.54	16.3	17.5	-1.12
Tyler Hansbrough	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.17	-20	8	-28	16.8	13.8	3.05	16.7	17.2	-0.50
Darren Collison	46	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	11	-34	16.5	13.9	2.66	16.6	17.3	-0.80
Danny Granger	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.24	-23	11	-34	15.9	14.1	1.80	16.4	17.9	-1.49

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	75	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-8	28	16.8	17.7	-0.96	15.7	13.1	2.62
Emeka Okafor	66	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	-6	24	16.3	18.6	-2.31	15.5	14.5	1.04
Chris Paul	55	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	-11	34	16.5	17.6	-1.14	15.5	14.8	0.72
Carl Landry	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-7	26	17.0	16.9	0.10	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Marco Belinelli	41	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	-9	30	16.8	17.1	-0.33	16.6	14.0	2.57
Jarrett Jack	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.41	-9	21	-30	17.9	16.0	1.95	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Aaron Gray	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	16.8	17.0	-0.17	15.9	15.0	0.94
Willie Green	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	21	-30	16.6	17.2	-0.56	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Jason Smith	15	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.33	-9	21	-30	19.1	16.5	2.64	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Quincy Pondexter	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.42	-13	25	-38	18.1	16.5	1.59	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Patrick Ewing Jr.	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	17	-22	14.3	17.0	-2.69	13.7	15.3	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DAL 103, NOH 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%