NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	4.4 [935]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +10.2%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	1.0 [679]		LVP	Will Barton (DEN): -15.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	14	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.09	0.06	-0.04	0.11	24	53%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	19	37%	0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	15	47%	-0.07	6	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.00	0.04	8	89%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	11	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	10	79%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	17	55%	0.08	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	12	50%	0.06	5	-0.08	6	50%	-0.06
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	29.1	14.8	25.5	2.6	38.3	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +39.8%

BKN +12.3%

DEN -11.0%

BKN +7.3%

BKN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.3	14.8	106.7	111.5	107.7
season	14.4	13.7		111.6	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	14.6	14.6	13.9	14.4
BKN	11.6	13.1	14.8	13.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	60	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.72	23	-28	51	13.6	15.5	-1.88	14.1	12.1	1.99
Nikola Jokic	42	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.64	18	-23	41	14.9	14.1	0.74	14.0	12.8	1.21
Jamal Murray	70	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.78	21	-26	47	14.1	15.1	-0.96	13.9	11.9	1.98
Darrell Arthur	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.26	-15	10	-25	13.8	14.6	-0.75	15.2	12.7	2.45
Kenneth Faried	28	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	0	-5	14.5	14.4	0.12	12.4	13.6	-1.19
Wilson Chandler	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.49	8	-13	21	13.6	16.5	-2.90	13.7	12.0	1.73
Emmanuel Mudiay	42	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.39	-26	21	-47	15.5	13.7	1.78	12.1	14.0	-1.88
Jusuf Nurkic	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	17	-39	15.3	13.9	1.35	11.6	14.2	-2.60
Danilo Gallinari	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.32	-24	19	-43	15.1	13.7	1.31	11.8	14.7	-2.89
Will Barton	85	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	14.5	13.8	0.70	13.3	13.1	0.21

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	77	77	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.11	15	-10	25	12.5	15.4	-2.82	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Sean Kilpatrick	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-10	25	12.4	15.1	-2.69	14.5	14.3	0.19
Trevor Booker	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-5	15	13.4	13.0	0.32	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Brook Lopez	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	4	-3	13.1	13.7	-0.64	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Isaiah Whitehead	64	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.13	13	-8	21	13.0	13.7	-0.68	14.9	13.7	1.13
Joe Harris	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.45	-9	14	-23	13.6	13.0	0.63	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	11	-17	14.2	12.9	1.33	14.4	14.4	0.05
Justin Hamilton	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	6	-7	14.7	12.9	1.80	14.8	14.3	0.55
Randy Foye	23	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	14	-23	14.1	13.0	1.09	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Anthony Bennett	14	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	14.9	13.0	1.82	17.9	13.9	4.01
Caris LeVert	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	7	-9	14.4	13.0	1.45	14.8	14.3	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	95.3%
POR 95, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	95.1%
MEM 103, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,0.98,1	95.0%