NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	3.1 [1186]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +13.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1143]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -13.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hamed Haddadi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	11	74%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Leon Powe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	3	89%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.02	0.03	22	46%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	0.04	11	50%	-0.04	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	21	63%	0.18	4	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	21	55%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	68%	0.07	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	89%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	78%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	18%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	5	9%	-0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	2.8	30.1	18.5	34.3	2.8	33.1	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +53.0%

MEM -5.5%

MEM -11.5%

LAC +11.8%

LAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	15.5	105.1	113.4	105.7
season	15.5	15.4		106.1	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.9	17.0	17.1	14.0	15.0
LAC	12.9	13.0	18.0	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-17	27	13.1	15.8	-2.69	15.4	14.2	1.23
Ish Smith	50	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	14.7	15.4	-0.69	14.8	14.2	0.63
Leon Powe	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	6	-19	16.9	14.5	2.38	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Darrell Arthur	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-5	3	14.1	17.0	-2.94	14.0	15.5	-1.52
Marc Gasol	53	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	16.2	13.6	2.67	14.6	14.5	0.09
Shane Battier	54	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	1	-9	17.3	12.2	5.07	15.0	14.0	1.04
O.J. Mayo	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	13.4	17.9	-4.49	14.8	14.0	0.76
Sam Young	89	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	14.8	17.3	-2.55	13.9	19.5	-5.56
Greivis Vasquez	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	15.4	14.1	1.30	14.8	13.9	0.86

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	14.4	14.9	-0.55	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Blake Griffin	81	82	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	5	-3	14.8	13.1	1.74	15.0	15.4	-0.42
DeAndre Jordan	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	-1	9	14.8	13.9	0.84	14.5	16.3	-1.80
Eric Bledsoe	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-1	9	13.9	15.0	-1.18	16.4	13.9	2.56
Mo Williams	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	15.0	13.9	1.18	13.9	16.4	-2.56
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	7	-7	15.0	14.1	0.89	17.3	13.1	4.21
Jamario Moon	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	0	7	14.7	14.4	0.29	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Craig Smith	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	13.3	14.9	-1.59	15.8	14.8	1.03
Randy Foye	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	9	-11	14.1	14.9	-0.78	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Ike Diogu	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	7	-7	14.0	14.7	-0.73	16.1	14.7	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.97,1	97.3%
MIL 72, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 92, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%