NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	2.1 [1238]		MVP	Charles Smith (SAS): +10.8%
San Antonio Spurs	115		Comeback	1.0 [823]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -8.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	12	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	14	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	14	38%	-0.03	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.24	0.00	0.13	20	76%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	94%	0.10	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.00	18	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	6	17%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.17	0.00	-0.11	12	36%	-0.01	6	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.8	28.3	19.3	23.6	2.5	25.4	128.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.3%

SAC -1.1%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +2.0%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	12.7	16.1	15.6	91.1	116.2	102.3
season	14.2	15.8		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	14.0	11.8	9.8	12.7
SAS	12.7	16.7	15.8	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-36	49	8.8	13.7	-4.90	18.9	15.4	3.51
Hedo Turkoglu	47	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-31	39	11.1	14.1	-2.93	18.4	14.0	4.34
Scot Pollard	42	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-30	37	12.0	13.2	-1.10	18.7	14.2	4.51
Bobby Jackson	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-27	31	12.1	13.2	-1.18	18.0	14.5	3.50
Mike Bibby	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.30	-23	0	-23	12.3	13.7	-1.40	15.0	18.9	-3.89
Chris Webber	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.52	-32	9	-41	13.4	10.6	2.80	15.2	18.9	-3.72
Vlade Divac	50	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	8	-39	14.2	11.2	3.02	14.3	17.7	-3.39
Peja Stojakovic	68	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.56	-34	11	-45	13.5	11.1	2.33	14.5	19.3	-4.79
Doug Christie	83	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	4	-31	13.4	9.4	3.95	15.9	17.4	-1.52

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	61	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.54	32	-9	41	15.3	17.5	-2.16	13.6	11.2	2.33
Steven Smith	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.54	31	-8	39	14.2	18.8	-4.59	13.3	11.8	1.45
Tony Parker	69	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.38	24	-1	25	14.6	19.7	-5.11	13.1	11.7	1.46
Charles Smith	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	6	11	15.3	17.7	-2.38	12.6	12.9	-0.34
Malik Rose	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	7	9	15.8	16.5	-0.71	13.0	12.3	0.77
David Robinson	23	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.34	20	3	17	15.6	16.3	-0.69	14.7	12.0	2.69
Antonio Daniels	52	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	27	-31	18.5	13.5	4.97	11.8	13.7	-1.86
Terry Porter	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	14	-5	19.2	15.7	3.54	14.7	12.4	2.33
Danny Ferry	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.36	-8	31	-39	18.8	14.2	4.59	11.8	13.3	-1.45
Cherokee Parks	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	33	-43	17.0	15.6	1.44	10.9	13.9	-2.97
Mark Bryant	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	35	-47	18.8	15.6	3.24	9.5	13.3	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.97,1	98.2%
PHX 71, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
ATL 68, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%