NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	6.9 [480]		MVP	Derrick Rose (NYK): +19.7%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	1.4 [645]		LVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): -19.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	18	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	0.08	-0.09	0.07	13	65%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	18	45%	-0.02	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.00	15	60%	0.22	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.07
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	20	63%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	11	83%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	12	35%	-0.13	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	28.5	16.4	31.9	2.0	36.0	142.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.0%

MIN -11.0%

NYK +17.9%

NYK +9.8%

NYK +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	15.0	14.8	115.2	118.0	107.7
season	15.3	15.0		109.3	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.2	16.1	12.9	13.0	14.0
NYK	13.0	16.6	14.3	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	43	45	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.15	13	-17	30	13.9	14.0	-0.11	14.3	15.5	-1.16
Nemanja Bjelica	43	45	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.35	18	-22	40	13.6	14.3	-0.73	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Cole Aldrich	58	58	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.31	15	-19	34	13.8	14.2	-0.34	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Kris Dunn	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-6	8	15.7	13.0	2.80	15.6	14.6	0.96
Ricky Rubio	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	2	-8	13.0	15.7	-2.80	14.7	15.5	-0.88
Zach LaVine	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	3	-10	14.3	12.6	1.65	15.9	11.6	4.30
Gorgui Dieng	34	34	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.07	-21	17	-38	15.0	13.4	1.57	16.8	14.0	2.76
Andrew Wiggins	76	76	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	10	-24	13.7	15.0	-1.34	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	62	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.18	-20	16	-36	13.8	14.2	-0.40	14.9	15.1	-0.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	72	72	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.43	21	-17	38	14.6	15.8	-1.18	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Justin Holiday	67	67	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-11	26	14.1	16.7	-2.53	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Derrick Rose	72	70	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	14.6	16.0	-1.48	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Kyle O'Quinn	63	63	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.23	16	-12	28	15.8	13.5	2.27	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	15.5	12.4	3.15	14.0	13.6	0.44
Lance Thomas	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	15.3	14.9	0.39	13.2	14.0	-0.85
Willy Hernangomez	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	16	-28	13.4	15.8	-2.38	14.0	14.0	0.00
Brandon Jennings	38	38	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	15	-26	16.3	14.1	2.17	14.8	13.5	1.29
Sasha Vujacic	23	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	13	-22	16.5	14.5	1.96	14.6	13.8	0.78
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	40	39	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	0.04	-19	23	-42	14.4	15.3	-0.87	14.0	14.0	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.99,1	93.5%
MIL 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	92.8%
NOH 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1	92.5%