NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.9 [289]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +32.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.3 [499]		LVP	Justin Holiday (NYK): -21.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.28	0.16	0.17	0.04	20	64%	0.32	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.15	-0.10	0.25	-0.00	16	39%	0.24	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marshall Plumlee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	80%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	117%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Ndour	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	14	43%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	8	12%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.33	0.33	0.25	0.12	0.04	22	73%	0.45	4	-0.13	20	85%	0.14
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	13	53%	0.26	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	20	46%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	6	44%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.6	15.3	27.5	1.8	38.5	140.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +65.0%

MIN -35.8%

NYK +8.2%

NYK +12.4%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	13.6	14.8	111.6	109.5	107.7
season	15.0	15.3		106.6	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	14.4	20.3	18.0	16.7
MIN	14.9	14.4	11.5	13.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	41	40	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.45	17	-15	32	15.3	17.8	-2.49	13.8	13.5	0.28
Brandon Jennings	67	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-6	14	17.3	15.2	2.06	13.5	13.8	-0.26
Kristaps Porzingis	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-7	16	16.7	16.7	0.05	13.7	13.2	0.46
Marshall Plumlee	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-9	20	17.6	16.1	1.46	14.8	12.9	1.88
Sasha Vujacic	19	18	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-8	18	19.3	16.1	3.26	15.7	13.1	2.54
Courtney Lee	15	16	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-2	6	14.7	17.1	-2.42	16.6	13.0	3.55
Justin Holiday	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	11	-20	16.2	17.2	-1.02	11.4	15.3	-3.91
Carmelo Anthony	68	68	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.50	-17	19	-36	17.6	14.4	3.21	13.2	14.6	-1.32
Derrick Rose	45	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	11	-20	15.9	17.4	-1.51	13.9	13.3	0.53
Willy Hernangomez	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	15.3	17.0	-1.76	12.6	13.9	-1.30
Kyle O'Quinn	35	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	2	-2	17.0	16.5	0.47	13.7	13.5	0.22
Maurice Ndour	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	9	-16	14.2	17.0	-2.74	11.9	13.8	-1.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	77	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.47	12	-14	26	13.6	13.8	-0.27	17.1	14.7	2.44
Cole Aldrich	13	13	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.5	0.72	13.4	17.2	-3.85
Ricky Rubio	72	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.48	9	-11	20	13.5	14.0	-0.57	17.4	14.5	2.88
Gorgui Dieng	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-6	10	13.4	14.0	-0.58	17.6	15.0	2.52
Zach LaVine	84	84	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-9	16	13.3	15.6	-2.29	17.0	14.5	2.55
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-9	16	13.6	13.5	0.09	17.2	13.8	3.45
Kris Dunn	23	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	9	-20	14.0	13.5	0.57	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Shabazz Muhammad	17	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	11	-24	14.2	13.5	0.69	13.7	17.4	-3.65
Tyus Jones	12	11	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	8	-18	15.0	13.4	1.59	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Nemanja Bjelica	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	7	-16	13.7	13.6	0.13	15.1	17.6	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
POR 115, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.15,0	92.9%