NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	2.2 [1270]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +9.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	105		Comeback	1.0 [1133]		LVP	Jose Calderon (LAL): -5.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	14	32%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	14	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	9	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	8	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
Brandon Ingram	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	0.00	0.10	27	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	14	86%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	15	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	7	14%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	29.2	15.3	23.8	2.0	27.2	125.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +20.6%

NOP +10.6%

NOP +12.4%

NOP +4.9%

NOP +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	14.8	91.7	108.2	107.7
season	14.5	14.1		104.8	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.4		106.2	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	15.8	16.0	12.0	14.9
NOP	11.6	14.2	14.6	19.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	21	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	14.9	15.0	-0.06	19.2	13.8	5.42
Thomas Robinson	17	17	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-19	21	14.9	14.9	-0.01	18.5	14.1	4.40
Nick Young	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-13	9	20.0	14.7	5.27	11.0	15.1	-4.06
Marcelo Huertas	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-13	9	13.5	15.3	-1.77	17.7	14.2	3.59
Tarik Black	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-15	13	14.5	15.3	-0.78	16.8	13.3	3.51
Brandon Ingram	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-17	17	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.2	12.9	3.30
Jose Calderon	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-8	-1	15.6	14.6	1.08	13.2	15.8	-2.55
Larry Nance Jr.	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-11	5	14.4	15.4	-0.97	15.1	14.7	0.43
Lou Williams	46	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-7	-3	14.0	15.9	-1.90	14.7	15.1	-0.46
Timofey Mozgov	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-6	-5	15.0	14.9	0.18	13.2	16.4	-3.25
Jordan Clarkson	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-8	-1	14.9	15.1	-0.26	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Julius Randle	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	0	-17	15.8	14.2	1.56	13.2	16.4	-3.25
Luol Deng	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	1	-19	15.9	14.1	1.77	13.0	16.6	-3.57

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-1	19	13.2	17.6	-4.40	15.3	14.4	0.88
Anthony Davis	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-2	21	14.6	16.5	-1.90	14.9	15.0	-0.06
Jrue Holiday	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	-2	21	14.7	15.2	-0.52	15.5	14.1	1.47
Omer Asik	52	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	4	9	13.9	16.0	-2.14	16.4	13.0	3.38
Tim Frazier	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	9	-1	15.0	14.8	0.20	15.2	14.3	0.91
Langston Galloway	35	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	9	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.20	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Terrence Jones	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	9	-1	16.1	13.7	2.40	14.3	15.6	-1.31
E'Twaun Moore	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	15	-13	15.0	14.8	0.21	14.7	15.1	-0.32
Anthony Brown	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	21	-25	17.5	13.0	4.57	13.8	15.7	-1.88
Buddy Hield	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.7	14.8	1.93	7.0	15.2	-8.20
Cheick Diallo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.7	14.8	1.93	7.0	15.2	-8.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, LAL 116	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 59, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 78, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%