NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	59		Excitement	1.7 [1309]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +7.1%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [1274]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -10.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	31%	-0.00	3	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	48%	-0.01	2	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	10	18%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	14	68%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.10	8	94%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	59%	0.01	2	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.10	16	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.0	33.0	18.8	27.3	3.6	30.0	141.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.7%

BOS +6.0%

BOS +3.6%

BOS +11.1%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	18.3	14.1	15.4	66.3	116.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.6		103.1	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.0	19.5	20.0	16.6	18.3
BOS	12.5	15.5	13.3	15.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-41	37	15.7	19.2	-3.49	15.7	13.5	2.20
Jared Jeffries	46	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.28	-10	-35	25	18.1	18.5	-0.40	15.2	12.8	2.49
Nate Robinson	41	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.42	-16	-29	13	17.3	19.1	-1.75	14.9	13.5	1.40
Fred Jones	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.42	-16	-29	13	17.5	19.0	-1.48	14.8	13.5	1.34
Renaldo Balkman	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.16	-9	-36	27	18.0	18.4	-0.44	14.5	13.8	0.71
David Lee	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.41	-23	-22	-1	19.2	17.7	1.56	14.2	14.0	0.18
Zach Randolph	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-27	9	18.4	18.2	0.25	12.8	15.0	-2.19
Quentin Richardson	54	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.57	-32	-13	-19	18.3	18.2	0.05	13.5	15.0	-1.56
Eddy Curry	41	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.65	-36	-9	-27	20.4	16.4	4.04	13.2	14.8	-1.69
Jamal Crawford	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.44	-31	-14	-17	18.2	18.4	-0.23	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Stephon Marbury	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.41	-30	-15	-15	19.0	17.7	1.27	12.9	15.0	-2.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	53	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.84	45	0	45	13.2	15.4	-2.26	18.9	17.2	1.75
Kevin Garnett	43	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.48	29	16	13	12.1	16.0	-3.89	18.3	18.2	0.06
Paul Pierce	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.62	31	14	17	13.2	15.5	-2.31	18.6	17.6	0.99
Rajon Rondo	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.57	29	16	13	12.7	16.3	-3.55	18.1	18.5	-0.42
Kendrick Perkins	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.73	34	11	23	12.0	15.5	-3.48	19.1	17.7	1.41
Eddie House	42	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.18	14	31	-17	15.6	12.7	2.87	18.0	18.4	-0.39
James Posey	22	21	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	34	-23	16.5	13.3	3.25	20.4	17.6	2.78
Glen Davis	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.38	20	25	-5	15.9	11.3	4.64	18.7	17.6	1.18
Brian Scalabrine	41	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	40	-35	16.0	12.5	3.43	17.6	18.8	-1.19
Gabe Pruitt	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	41	-37	15.7	13.5	2.20	15.4	19.4	-4.03
Leon Powe	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	42	-39	14.2	14.1	0.13	16.1	18.9	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 77, DET 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
WAS 84, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MEM 81, HOU 130	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%