inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 84 Excitement2.3 [1269] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +8.1%
Toronto Raptors 103 Comeback1.0 [940] LVPNene (WAS): -13.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.06483%0.0200.00450%-0.01
Kris Humphries0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.02752%0.021-0.00771%-0.00
Otto Porter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04972%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00362%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00542%0.0000.002100%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.01750%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Glen Rice Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011135%-0.031-0.001100%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03619%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
John Wall-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.061329%-0.032-0.022100%0.01
Nene-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.200.00-0.071123%-0.084-0.05837%-0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01-0.071148%0.081-0.00540%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.031368%0.083-0.0111100%0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.031560%0.103-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.04350%0.041-0.00475%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03560%0.0200.00560%-0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03743%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.05420%0.0000.002100%0.01
Landry Fields00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02650%-0.0000.002100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05383%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.041346%0.024-0.04250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.834.416.327.41.730.3135.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +37.3%
TOR +8.8%
WAS -0.6%
TOR +3.2%
TOR +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game15.615.015.188.4110.8104.2
season15.115.6102.9109.1
opponent15.015.3106.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.616.413.615.815.6
TOR12.214.217.117.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Rice Jr.770.00-0.500.51-0.062-212316.715.51.2112.115.3-3.14
DeJuan Blair109-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-191916.115.50.5715.715.00.69
Kris Humphries2827-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-202115.815.50.2817.614.03.54
Andre Miller3333-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-191916.315.21.0915.215.00.22
Otto Porter4848-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-181715.515.7-0.1414.915.2-0.26
Rasual Butler2927-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-191916.015.40.5916.714.32.39
Drew Gooden2423-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-151116.215.40.8312.315.9-3.58
Kevin Seraphin3434-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-14916.315.21.0515.614.70.81
Nene3838-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-13-6-714.916.0-1.0714.815.2-0.43
Marcin Gortat5655-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-17-2-1515.216.2-1.0414.715.6-0.86
Garrett Temple5959-0.37-0.13-0.240.24-212-2315.316.1-0.8814.615.8-1.18
Paul Pierce4745-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-18-1-1715.715.50.1415.214.90.26
John Wall6260-0.38-0.12-0.260.18-190-1915.216.3-1.0915.015.2-0.22

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan71700.370.130.240.02127515.613.32.2614.917.6-2.73
Kyle Lowry69690.370.130.23-0.131721515.015.1-0.0514.917.3-2.42
Amir Johnson41430.340.160.18-0.161721514.415.6-1.1716.115.20.96
Jonas Valanciunas59580.330.170.17-0.221901915.114.90.1614.617.1-2.49
Terrence Ross59600.330.170.16-0.231901915.115.00.0215.316.1-0.88
Patrick Patterson52540.210.29-0.08-0.05910-114.415.8-1.3616.414.51.90
Greivis Vasquez29320.150.35-0.200.09217-1514.815.2-0.3616.515.11.37
Lou Williams29300.150.35-0.210.18-120-2114.915.1-0.2616.615.11.43
James Johnson31310.140.36-0.220.11118-1715.215.00.2716.415.21.14
Tyler Hansbrough24260.110.39-0.280.14-120-2115.814.81.0116.815.11.68
Landry Fields120.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1721.015.06.0211.015.7-4.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 59, BOS 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
PHX 95, PHI 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIL 82, TOR 1240.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%